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Phillips 66 (XTER:R66) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 21.12 (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


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What is Phillips 66 Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-12-15), Phillips 66's current share price is €117.40. Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2024 was €5.56. Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 21.12.

The historical rank and industry rank for Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

XTER:R66' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 12.41   Med: 20.75   Max: 31.74
Current: 19.74

During the past years, Phillips 66's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 31.74. The lowest was 12.41. And the median was 20.75.

XTER:R66's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
65.47% of 391 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 12.69 vs XTER:R66: 19.74

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Phillips 66's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2024 was €1.665. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €5.56 for the trailing ten years ended in Sep. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Phillips 66 Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Phillips 66 Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Phillips 66 Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 20.65 18.99 19.44 23.51

Phillips 66 Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 22.05 23.51 30.36 24.52 21.14

Competitive Comparison of Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Phillips 66 Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=117.40/5.56
=21.12

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Phillips 66's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Sep. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Sep. 2024)
=1.665/133.0289*133.0289
=1.665

Current CPI (Sep. 2024) = 133.0289.

Phillips 66 Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201412 -0.368 99.070 -0.494
201503 0.453 99.621 0.605
201506 0.347 100.684 0.458
201509 0.728 100.392 0.965
201512 -1.665 99.792 -2.220
201603 -0.826 100.470 -1.094
201606 0.897 101.688 1.173
201609 0.374 101.861 0.488
201612 -0.263 101.863 -0.343
201703 -1.816 102.862 -2.349
201706 2.407 103.349 3.098
201709 0.055 104.136 0.070
201712 2.298 104.011 2.939
201803 0.265 105.290 0.335
201806 3.314 106.317 4.147
201809 -0.360 106.507 -0.450
201812 5.951 105.998 7.469
201903 -3.035 107.251 -3.764
201906 2.523 108.070 3.106
201909 1.601 108.329 1.966
201912 0.835 108.420 1.025
202003 -1.448 108.902 -1.769
202006 -0.354 108.767 -0.433
202009 -0.118 109.815 -0.143
202012 0.249 109.897 0.301
202103 -0.115 111.754 -0.137
202106 2.569 114.631 2.981
202109 3.187 115.734 3.663
202112 2.416 117.630 2.732
202203 1.546 121.301 1.695
202206 2.744 125.017 2.920
202209 5.037 125.227 5.351
202212 8.030 125.222 8.531
202303 1.642 127.348 1.715
202306 0.817 128.729 0.844
202309 4.385 129.860 4.492
202312 2.687 129.419 2.762
202403 -1.840 131.776 -1.857
202406 3.775 132.554 3.789
202409 1.665 133.029 1.665

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Phillips 66  (XTER:R66) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Phillips 66 Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Phillips 66's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Phillips 66 Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Phillips 66 (XTER:R66) » Definitions » Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Address
2331 CityWest Boulevard, Houston, TX, USA, 77042
Phillips 66 is an independent refiner with 12 refineries that have a total crude throughput capacity of 1.8 million barrels per day, or mmb/d. In 2023, the Rodeo, California, facility ceased operations and be converted to produce renewable diesel. The midstream segment comprises extensive transportation and NGL processing assets and includes DCP Midstream, which holds 600 mbd of NGL fractionation and 22,000 miles of pipeline. Its CPChem chemical joint venture operates facilities in the United States and the Middle East and primarily produces olefins and polyolefins.

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