VST (Vistra) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 4.54 (As of Aug. 03, 2026) — 12% Below Median

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VST Vistra Corp VST
86 GF Score
Price $155.94
GF Value $170.73
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Vistra Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio?

Vistra VST +5.23% 86 Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 4.54 as of Aug. 03, 2026, which is 12% below its 10-year median of 5.14. GuruFocus rates VST with a GF Score™ of 86/100 and a GF Value™ of $170.73 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 270 Utilities - Independent Power Producers companies, Vistra ranks worse than 77.41% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-03), Vistra's current share price is $155.94. Vistra's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was $34.32. Vistra's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is 4.54.

The historical rank and industry rank for Vistra's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

VST' s Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 4.07   Med: 5.14   Max: 6.95
Current: 4.32

During the past years, Vistra's highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio was 6.95. The lowest was 4.07. And the median was 5.14.

VST's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is ranked worse than
77.41% of 270 companies
in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry
Industry Median: 1.67 vs VST: 4.32

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted revenue per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Vistra's adjusted revenue per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was $16.498. Add all the adjusted revenue per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share, which is $34.32 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Vistra  (NYSE:VST) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.


Vistra Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms


Vistra Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Vistra's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Vistra Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Chart

Vistra Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.98

Vistra Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 6.38 6.22 4.98 4.38

VST vs NRG, TLN, CEG: Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers subindustry, Vistra's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vistra Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry

For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry and Utilities sector, Vistra's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vistra's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


VST
86GF Score
Vistra Corp VST
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Vistra Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.

Vistra's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
=155.94/34.32
=4.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Vistra's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Vistra's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare=Revenue per Share/CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=16.498/330.2130*330.2130
=16.498

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Vistra Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201606 2.884 241.018 3.951
201609 3.953 241.428 5.407
201612 2.786 241.432 3.810
201703 3.172 243.801 4.296
201706 3.031 244.955 4.086
201709 4.280 246.819 5.726
201712 2.202 246.524 2.950
201803 1.786 249.554 2.363
201806 4.822 251.989 6.319
201809 5.995 252.439 7.842
201812 4.953 251.233 6.510
201903 5.741 254.202 7.458
201906 5.580 256.143 7.194
201909 6.470 256.759 8.321
201912 5.406 256.974 6.947
202003 5.825 258.115 7.452
202006 5.116 257.797 6.553
202009 7.234 260.280 9.178
202012 5.134 260.474 6.509
202103 6.616 264.877 8.248
202106 5.263 271.696 6.397
202109 6.173 274.310 7.431
202112 6.913 278.802 8.188
202203 6.920 287.504 7.948
202206 3.700 296.311 4.123
202209 12.326 296.808 13.713
202212 9.779 296.797 10.880
202303 11.418 301.836 12.491
202306 8.464 305.109 9.160
202309 10.979 307.789 11.779
202312 8.468 306.746 9.116
202403 8.752 312.332 9.253
202406 10.852 314.175 11.406
202409 17.955 315.301 18.804
202412 11.572 315.605 12.108
202503 11.574 319.799 11.951
202506 12.301 322.561 12.593
202509 14.407 324.800 14.647
202512 13.337 324.054 13.590
202603 16.498 330.213 16.498

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 4.54 mean?
Vistra (VST) has a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 4.54 as of Aug. 03, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Vistra and its competitors. This is 12% below median its historical median of 5.14. Over the past decade, Vistra's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 4.07 to 6.95. According to the industry distribution chart, Vistra ranks #209 out of 270 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, placing it in the top 77.4%.
Is Vistra's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio too high?
Vistra's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 4.54 is 12% below median its 10-year median of 5.14. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 4.07 to a high of 6.95. The Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.67. Vistra's value of 4.54 is 171.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Vistra ranks #209 out of 270 companies in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Vistra has a GF Score™ of 86/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Vistra's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio compare to NRG and TLN?
According to the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry distribution chart, Vistra ranks #209 out of 270 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. This places Vistra in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.67. Vistra's value of 4.54 is 171.9% above this benchmark. Historically, Vistra's own Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 4.07 to 6.95 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 5.14 vs. the industry median of 1.67, Vistra has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for an Utilities - Independent Power Producers company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio among Utilities - Independent Power Producers companies is 1.67, based on 270 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Vistra's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 4.54 is 171.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Vistra and its competitors. For the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.67 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Vistra's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 4.54, which is 12% below median its own 10-year median of 5.14. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Vistra stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vistra (VST) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $170.73, compared to a current price of $155.94 — trading 8.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 4.54, which is 12% below median its 10-year median of 5.14 and 171.9% above the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry median of 1.67. Vistra's overall GF Score™ is 86/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Vistra (VST), the current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 4.54 as of Aug. 03, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Vistra (VST) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Vistra stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $155.94 is trading 8.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of $170.73. GuruFocus considers Vistra to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for VST:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 4.54 (12% below median its 10-year median of 5.14)
  • GF Value™: $170.73 vs. price of $155.94 (8.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 86/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 171.9% above the Utilities - Independent Power Producers median (#209 of 270)

No single metric tells the full story. See the VST stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Vistra Business Description

Address 6555 Sierra Drive, Irving, TX, USA, 75039
Vistra Corp. is one of the largest power producers and retail energy providers in the US. It owns 44 gigawatts of generation capacity, including natural gas (27 GW), nuclear (6.5 GW), coal (8.7 GW), and solar and battery storage (1.3 GW). The Cogentrix acquisition will add 5.5 GW of gas generation. Vistra's retail electricity business serves 5 million customers in 20 states, including almost a third of all Texas electricity consumers. Vistra emerged from the Energy Future Holdings bankruptcy as a stand-alone entity in 2016.
86GF Score

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Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$155.94
Price
$170.73
GF Value