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Advance Auto Parts E10

: $6.02 (As of Sep. 2020)
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E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Advance Auto Parts's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2020 was $2.130. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is $6.02 for the trailing ten years ended in Sep. 2020.

As of today (2020-12-03), Advance Auto Parts's current stock price is $148.45. Advance Auto Parts's E10 for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2020 was $6.02. Advance Auto Parts's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 24.66.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of Advance Auto Parts was 48.47. The lowest was 13.40. And the median was 29.51.


Advance Auto Parts E10 Historical Data

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

* Premium members only.

Advance Auto Parts Annual Data
Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19
E10 Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.08 4.45 4.85 5.13 5.64

Advance Auto Parts Quarterly Data
Dec14 Apr15 Sep15 Dec15 Apr16 Sep16 Dec16 Apr17 Sep17 Dec17 Apr18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20
E10 Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.58 5.64 5.60 5.90 6.02

Competitive Comparison
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap.


Advance Auto Parts E10 Distribution

* The bar in red indicates where Advance Auto Parts's E10 falls into.



Advance Auto Parts E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Advance Auto Parts's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2020 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Sep. 2020 (Change)*Current CPI (Sep. 2020)
=2.13/109.8149*109.8149
=2.130

Current CPI (Sep. 2020) = 109.8149.

Advance Auto Parts Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
200906 0.830 90.859 1.003
200909 0.650 91.207 0.783
200912 0.370 91.423 0.444
201003 1.190 91.980 1.421
201006 1.160 91.981 1.385
201009 1.030 92.277 1.226
201012 0.580 92.914 0.685
201103 1.350 94.890 1.562
201106 1.460 95.319 1.682
201109 1.410 95.529 1.621
201112 0.920 95.632 1.056
201203 1.790 97.075 2.025
201206 1.340 96.661 1.522
201209 1.210 97.595 1.362
201212 0.880 97.158 0.995
201304 1.650 98.282 1.844
201309 1.420 98.536 1.583
201312 0.670 98.692 0.746
201404 2.010 100.373 2.199
201409 1.660 100.176 1.820
201412 1.150 98.604 1.281
201504 2.000 100.333 2.189
201509 1.630 100.346 1.784
201512 0.740 99.957 0.813
201604 2.140 101.355 2.319
201609 1.530 101.988 1.647
201612 0.840 102.456 0.900
201704 1.460 103.256 1.553
201709 1.300 104.070 1.372
201712 2.490 104.578 2.615
201804 1.840 106.148 1.904
201809 1.560 106.695 1.606
201812 0.740 106.200 0.765
201903 1.980 107.818 2.017
201906 1.730 108.250 1.755
201909 1.750 108.577 1.770
201912 1.380 108.841 1.392
202003 0.630 108.173 0.640
202006 2.740 109.318 2.752
202009 2.130 109.815 2.130

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


Advance Auto Parts  (NYSE:AAP) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Advance Auto Parts's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=148.45/6.02
=24.66

* All numbers are in millions except for per share data and ratio. All numbers are in their local exchange's currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of Advance Auto Parts was 48.47. The lowest was 13.40. And the median was 29.51.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


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