Ecopetrol (BOG:ECOPETROL) E10: COP354.15 (As of Mar. 2026)


BOG:ECOPETROL Ecopetrol SA BOG:ECOPETROL
100 GF Score
Price COP2,535.00
GF Value COP1,774.17
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Ecopetrol E10?

Ecopetrol BOG:ECOPETROL -0.59% 100 E10 is COP354.15 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates BOG:ECOPETROL with a GF Score™ of 100/100 and a GF Value™ of COP1,774.17 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Ecopetrol's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was COP70.215. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is COP354.15 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

During the past 12 months, Ecopetrol's average E10 Growth Rate was 14.40% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 9.00% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 9.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of Ecopetrol was 9.00% per year. The lowest was 1.10% per year. And the median was 5.85% per year.

As of today (2026-07-10), Ecopetrol's current stock price is COP2535.00. Ecopetrol's E10 for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was COP354.15. Ecopetrol's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 7.16.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of Ecopetrol was 19.02. The lowest was 5.44. And the median was 9.31.


Ecopetrol  (BOG:ECOPETROL) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Ecopetrol's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=2535.00/354.15
=7.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of Ecopetrol was 19.02. The lowest was 5.44. And the median was 9.31.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Ecopetrol E10 Related Terms


Ecopetrol E10 Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ecopetrol's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ecopetrol E10 Chart

Ecopetrol Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 230.29 264.22 277.78 298.46 341.86

Ecopetrol Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 309.50 311.63 317.85 341.86 354.15

BOG:ECOPETROL vs XOM, CVX: E10 Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, Ecopetrol's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ecopetrol Shiller PE Ratio vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Ecopetrol's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ecopetrol's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.


BOG:ECOPETROL
100GF Score
Ecopetrol SA BOG:ECOPETROL
E10 is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Ecopetrol E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Ecopetrol's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=70.215/330.2130*330.2130
=70.215

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Ecopetrol Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201606 19.141 241.018 26.225
201609 5.570 241.428 7.618
201612 4.524 241.432 6.188
201703 21.548 243.801 29.185
201706 31.739 244.955 42.786
201709 24.394 246.819 32.636
201712 83.348 246.524 111.643
201803 63.599 249.554 84.155
201806 85.586 251.989 112.154
201809 67.491 252.439 88.284
201812 73.279 251.233 96.316
201903 66.761 254.202 86.724
201906 84.783 256.143 109.300
201909 73.231 256.759 94.181
201912 128.634 256.974 165.295
202003 3.200 258.115 4.094
202006 0.608 257.797 0.779
202009 20.794 260.280 26.381
202012 16.417 260.474 20.812
202103 75.055 264.877 93.568
202106 90.571 271.696 110.078
202109 92.590 274.310 111.459
202112 147.799 278.802 175.053
202203 1.599 287.504 1.837
202206 254.600 296.311 283.730
202209 231.366 296.808 257.406
202212 166.623 296.797 185.383
202303 137.657 301.836 150.599
202306 99.400 305.109 107.579
202309 123.697 307.789 132.709
202312 102.829 306.746 110.696
202403 97.576 312.332 103.162
202406 82.108 314.175 86.299
202409 88.747 315.301 92.944
202412 94.803 315.605 99.191
202503 76.052 319.799 78.529
202506 44.045 322.561 45.090
202509 62.335 324.800 63.374
202512 37.138 324.054 37.844
202603 70.215 330.213 70.215

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about E10 →
What does a E10 of COP354.15 mean?
Ecopetrol (BOG:ECOPETROL) has a E10 of COP354.15 as of Mar. 2026. E10 represents the company's inflation-adjusted earnings per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Ecopetrol and its competitors.
Is Ecopetrol's E10 too high?
Ecopetrol's current E10 is COP354.15. Overall, Ecopetrol has a GF Score™ of 100/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ecopetrol's E10 compare to XOM and CVX?
Ecopetrol's E10 of COP354.15 can be compared against companies in the Oil & Gas industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good E10 for an Oil & Gas company?
A good E10 depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, E10 should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high E10 mean?
A high E10 can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. E10 represents the company's inflation-adjusted earnings per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Ecopetrol and its competitors. Ecopetrol's current E10 is COP354.15. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ecopetrol stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ecopetrol (BOG:ECOPETROL) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is COP1,774.17, compared to a current price of COP2,535.00 — trading 42.9% above its estimated fair value. The current E10 is COP354.15. Ecopetrol's overall GF Score™ is 100/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is E10 calculated?
E10 is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ecopetrol (BOG:ECOPETROL), the current E10 is COP354.15 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ecopetrol (BOG:ECOPETROL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ecopetrol stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of COP2,535.00 is trading 42.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of COP1,774.17. GuruFocus considers Ecopetrol to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BOG:ECOPETROL:

  • E10: COP354.15
  • GF Value™: COP1,774.17 vs. price of COP2,535.00 (42.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 100/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BOG:ECOPETROL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ecopetrol Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Address Carrera 13 No. 36 - 24, Main Building, Bogota, COL
Ecopetrol SA is engaged in commercial and industrial activities related to the exploration, exploitation, refining, transportation, storage, distribution, and marketing of hydrocarbons, their derivatives, and products, as well as the electric power transmission services, design, development, construction, operation, and maintenance of road and energy infrastructure projects and the provision of information technology and telecommunications services. The operations of the company are performed through four business segments: Exploration and Production, Transport and Logistics, Refining and Petrochemical, and Electric Power Transmission and Toll Roads Concessions. The majority of the company's revenue is generated from the Exploration and Production segment.
100GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BOG:ECOPETROL

E10 is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

COP2,535.00
Price
COP1,774.17
GF Value