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Ecopetrol (BOG:ECOPETROL) E10 : COP284.13 (As of Sep. 2024)


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What is Ecopetrol E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Ecopetrol's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2024 was COP88.747. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is COP284.13 for the trailing ten years ended in Sep. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Ecopetrol's average E10 Growth Rate was 2.90% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 8.00% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 5.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of Ecopetrol was 8.00% per year. The lowest was 1.10% per year. And the median was 3.25% per year.

As of today (2025-03-26), Ecopetrol's current stock price is COP2120.00. Ecopetrol's E10 for the quarter that ended in Sep. 2024 was COP284.13. Ecopetrol's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 7.46.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of Ecopetrol was 19.02. The lowest was 0.92. And the median was 9.63.


Ecopetrol E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ecopetrol's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ecopetrol E10 Chart

Ecopetrol Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 220.38 230.29 264.23 277.79 -

Ecopetrol Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 277.79 280.10 279.83 284.13 -

Competitive Comparison of Ecopetrol's E10

For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, Ecopetrol's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ecopetrol's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Ecopetrol's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ecopetrol's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Ecopetrol E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Ecopetrol's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Sep. 2024 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Sep. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Sep. 2024)
=88.747/133.0289*133.0289
=88.747

Current CPI (Sep. 2024) = 133.0289.

Ecopetrol Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201412 -20.527 99.070 -27.563
201503 3.900 99.621 5.208
201506 36.652 100.684 48.427
201509 15.906 100.392 21.077
201512 -153.427 99.792 -204.527
201603 8.829 100.470 11.690
201606 19.141 101.688 25.040
201609 5.570 101.861 7.274
201612 4.524 101.863 5.908
201703 21.548 102.862 27.867
201706 31.739 103.349 40.854
201709 24.394 104.136 31.162
201712 83.348 104.011 106.601
201803 63.599 105.290 80.355
201806 85.586 106.317 107.089
201809 67.491 106.507 84.298
201812 73.279 105.998 91.966
201903 66.761 107.251 82.807
201906 84.783 108.070 104.364
201909 73.231 108.329 89.928
201912 128.634 108.420 157.831
202003 3.200 108.902 3.909
202006 0.608 108.767 0.744
202009 20.794 109.815 25.190
202012 16.417 109.897 19.873
202103 75.055 111.754 89.343
202106 90.571 114.631 105.107
202109 92.590 115.734 106.426
202112 147.799 117.630 167.148
202203 1.599 121.301 1.754
202206 254.641 125.017 270.960
202209 231.366 125.227 245.782
202212 166.623 125.222 177.011
202303 137.657 127.348 143.798
202306 99.400 128.729 102.720
202309 123.697 129.860 126.716
202312 102.829 129.419 105.697
202403 97.576 131.776 98.504
202406 63.973 132.554 64.202
202409 88.747 133.029 88.747

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


Ecopetrol  (BOG:ECOPETROL) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Ecopetrol's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=2120.00/284.13
=7.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of Ecopetrol was 19.02. The lowest was 0.92. And the median was 9.63.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Ecopetrol E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ecopetrol's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ecopetrol Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Carrera 13 No. 36 - 24, Main Building, Bogota, COL
Ecopetrol SA is engaged in commercial and industrial activities related to the exploration, exploitation, refining, transportation, storage, distribution, and marketing of hydrocarbons, their derivatives, and products, as well as the electric power transmission services, design, development, construction, operation, and maintenance of road and energy infrastructure projects and the provision of information technology and telecommunications services. The operations of the company are performed through four business segments: Exploration and Production, Transport and Logistics, Refining and Petrochemical, and Electric Power Transmission and Toll Roads Concessions. The majority of the company's revenue is generated from the Refining and Petrochemical segment.

Ecopetrol Headlines

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