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Azul (BSP:AZUL4) E10 : R$-6.34 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Azul E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Azul's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was R$1.160. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is R$-6.34 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

As of today (2024-05-05), Azul's current stock price is R$10.95. Azul's E10 for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was R$-6.34. Azul's Shiller PE Ratio of today is .


Azul E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for Azul's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Azul E10 Chart

Azul Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -6.34

Azul Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - -6.41 -6.61 -6.34

Competitive Comparison of Azul's E10

For the Airlines subindustry, Azul's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Azul's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Azul's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Azul's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Azul E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Azul's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=1.16/156.2729*156.2729
=1.160

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 156.2729.

Azul Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201203 -0.008 79.938 -0.016
201212 0.000 83.581 0.000
201303 0.093 85.205 0.171
201309 0.285 86.749 0.513
201312 0.124 88.522 0.219
201409 -0.076 92.602 -0.128
201412 -0.006 94.194 -0.010
201512 0.000 104.247 0.000
201603 -0.203 106.979 -0.297
201606 -0.364 108.851 -0.523
201609 0.028 109.986 0.040
201612 0.155 110.802 0.219
201703 0.177 111.869 0.247
201706 -0.120 112.115 -0.167
201709 0.590 112.777 0.818
201712 0.890 114.068 1.219
201803 0.510 114.868 0.694
201806 -0.130 117.038 -0.174
201809 -0.141 117.881 -0.187
201812 0.400 118.340 0.528
201903 0.360 120.124 0.468
201906 1.030 120.977 1.331
201909 -1.541 121.292 -1.985
201912 2.530 123.436 3.203
202003 -17.980 124.092 -22.643
202006 -8.596 123.557 -10.872
202009 -3.588 125.095 -4.482
202012 -2.680 129.012 -3.246
202103 -7.675 131.660 -9.110
202106 2.650 133.871 3.093
202109 -6.488 137.913 -7.352
202112 -2.736 141.992 -3.011
202203 7.680 146.537 8.190
202206 -7.130 149.784 -7.439
202209 -5.790 147.800 -6.122
202212 0.550 150.207 0.572
202303 -2.120 153.352 -2.160
202306 0.070 154.519 0.071
202309 -3.090 155.464 -3.106
202312 1.160 156.273 1.160

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


Azul  (BSP:AZUL4) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Azul E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Azul's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Azul (BSP:AZUL4) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Marcos Penteado de Ulhoa Rodrigues, 939, Edificio Jatoba, 8th Floor, Castelo Branco Office Park, Tambore, Barueri, Sao Paulo, SP, BRA, 06460-040
Azul SA is involved in the operation of regular and non-regular airline passenger services, cargo or mail, passenger charter, provision of maintenance and hangarage services for aircraft, engines, parts and pieces, aircraft acquisition and lease, development of frequent-flyer programs, development of related activities and equity holding in other companies.

Azul (BSP:AZUL4) Headlines

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