The Lottery (ASX:TLC) 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate: 8.40% (As of Dec. 2025) — Near Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ASX:TLC The Lottery Corp Ltd ASX:TLC
60 GF Score
Price A$5.40
GF Value A$5.25
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is The Lottery 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate?

The Lottery ASX:TLC 60 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 8.40% as of Dec. 2025, which is at its 10-year median of 8.40. GuruFocus rates ASX:TLC with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of A$5.25 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 639 Travel & Leisure companies, The Lottery ranks worse than 50.55% on this metric.

The Lottery's EBITDA per Share for the six months ended in Dec. 2025 was A$0.17.

During the past 12 months, The Lottery's average EBITDA Per Share Growth Rate was -2.30% per year. During the past 3 years, the average EBITDA Per Share Growth Rate was 8.40% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the average EBITDA per share growth rate.

During the past 4 years, the highest 3-Year average EBITDA Per Share Growth Rate of The Lottery was 8.40% per year. The lowest was 8.40% per year. And the median was 8.40% per year.


The Lottery  (ASX:TLC) 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate Explanation

EBITDA per Share is the amount of Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) per outstanding share of the company's stock.

Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (EBITDA) is what the company earns before it expenses interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization.


The Lottery 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate Related Terms


ASX:TLC vs FLUT, DKNG, SGHC: 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate Comparison

For the Gambling subindustry, The Lottery's 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate, along with its competitors' market caps and 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Lottery 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, The Lottery's 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Lottery's 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate falls into.


ASX:TLC
60GF Score
The Lottery Corp Ltd ASX:TLC
3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

The Lottery 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate Calculation

This is the 3-year average growth rate of EBITDA per Share. The growth rate is calculated using exponential compounding based on the latest four year annual data.

Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the average EBITDA per share growth rate.

What does a 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate of 8.40% mean?
The Lottery (ASX:TLC) has a 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate of 8.40% as of Dec. 2025. 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is the 3-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share. View historical data for The Lottery and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 8.40. Over the past decade, The Lottery's 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate has ranged from 8.40 to 8.40. According to the industry distribution chart, The Lottery ranks #323 out of 639 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 50.5%.
Is The Lottery's 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate too high?
The Lottery's current 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate of 8.40% is near median its 10-year median of 8.40. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 8.40 to a high of 8.40. The Travel & Leisure industry median 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 8.80. The Lottery's value of 8.40% is 4.5% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, The Lottery ranks #323 out of 639 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, The Lottery has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The Lottery's 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate compare to FLUT and DKNG?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, The Lottery ranks #323 out of 639 companies for 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate. This places The Lottery in the lower half of its industry. The industry median 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 8.80. The Lottery's value of 8.40% is 4.5% below this benchmark. Historically, The Lottery's own 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate has ranged from 8.40 to 8.40 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 8.40 vs. the industry median of 8.80, The Lottery has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate for a Travel & Leisure company?
The median 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate among Travel & Leisure companies is 8.80, based on 639 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. The Lottery's current 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate of 8.40% is 4.5% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate mean?
A high 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is the 3-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share. View historical data for The Lottery and its competitors. For the Travel & Leisure industry, the median 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 8.80 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. The Lottery's current 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 8.40%, which is near median its own 10-year median of 8.40. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The Lottery stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Lottery (ASX:TLC) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$5.25, compared to a current price of A$5.40 — trading 2.9% above its estimated fair value. The current 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 8.40%, which is near median its 10-year median of 8.40 and 4.5% below the Travel & Leisure industry median of 8.80. The Lottery's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate calculated?
3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The Lottery (ASX:TLC), the current 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is 8.40% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is The Lottery (ASX:TLC) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Lottery stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of A$5.40 is trading 2.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$5.25. GuruFocus considers The Lottery to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:TLC:

  • 3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate: 8.40% (near median its 10-year median of 8.40)
  • GF Value™: A$5.25 vs. price of A$5.40 (2.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 60/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 4.5% below the Travel & Leisure median (#323 of 639)

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:TLC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


The Lottery Business Description

Address 180 Ann Street, Level 8, Brisbane, QLD, AUS, 4000
The Lottery Corporation is Australia's largest provider of lottery, keno, and instant-scratch products, with long-dated and/or exclusive licenses for the lottery in all Australian states and territories except Western Australia, and in most states and territories for keno. Lottery Corp has a distribution network of more than 3,800 franchised retailers that sell instant-scratch and lottery products through vendors such as newsstands, gas stations, pharmacies, and convenience stores, as well as online sales. Keno is sold in over 3,400 bars and clubs.
60GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:TLC

3-Year EBITDA Growth Rate is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$5.40
Price
A$5.25
GF Value