The LotteryASX:TLC +1.08%63 Altman Z2-Score is 0.92 as of Jun. 27, 2026, which is 12% below its 10-year median of 1.04. GuruFocus rates ASX:TLC with a GF Score™ of 63/100 and a GF Value™ of A$5.23 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 851 Travel & Leisure companies, The Lottery ranks worse than 67.33% on this metric.
Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.
Warning Sign:
The Lottery has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.92, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.
The zones of discrimination were as such:
When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.
The historical rank and industry rank for The Lottery's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:
ASX:TLC'
s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.92 Med: 1.04 Max: 1.21
Current: 0.92
During the past 4 years, The Lottery's highest Altman Z2-Score was 1.21. The lowest was 0.92. And the median was 1.04.
The Lottery (ASX:TLC) Altman Z2-Score Explanation
The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.
X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.
X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.
X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.
Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.
The Lottery Altman Z2-Score Related Terms
The Lottery Altman Z2-Score Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for The Lottery's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
ASX:TLC vs FLUT, DKNG, LNWO: Altman Z2-Score Comparison
For the Gambling subindustry, The Lottery's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
The Lottery Altman Z2-Score vs Travel & Leisure Industry
For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, The Lottery's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where The Lottery's Altman Z2-Score falls into.
Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.
Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.
The Lottery's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:
Z
=
6.56
*
X1
+
3.26
*
X2
+
6.72
*
X3
+
1.05
*
X4_2
=
6.56
*
-0.1041
+
3.26
*
0.1587
+
6.72
*
0.1495
+
1.05
*
0.0788
=
0.92
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.
The Lottery (ASX:TLC) has a Altman Z2-Score of 0.92 as of Jun. 27, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on The Lottery and its competitors. This is 12% below median its historical median of 1.04. Over the past decade, The Lottery's Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 0.92 to 1.21. According to the industry distribution chart, The Lottery ranks #573 out of 851 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 67.3%.
Is The Lottery's Altman Z2-Score too high?
The Lottery's current Altman Z2-Score of 0.92 is 12% below median its 10-year median of 1.04. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.92 to a high of 1.21. The Travel & Leisure industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.46. The Lottery's value of 0.92 is 62.6% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, The Lottery ranks #573 out of 851 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, The Lottery has a GF Score™ of 63/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The Lottery's Altman Z2-Score compare to FLUT and DKNG?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, The Lottery ranks #573 out of 851 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This places The Lottery in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.46. The Lottery's value of 0.92 is 62.6% below this benchmark. Historically, The Lottery's own Altman Z2-Score has ranged from 0.92 to 1.21 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.04 vs. the industry median of 2.46, The Lottery has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for a Travel & Leisure company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Travel & Leisure companies is 2.46, based on 851 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. The Lottery's current Altman Z2-Score of 0.92 is 62.6% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on The Lottery and its competitors. For the Travel & Leisure industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 2.46 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. The Lottery's current Altman Z2-Score is 0.92, which is 12% below median its own 10-year median of 1.04. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The Lottery stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Lottery (ASX:TLC) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$5.23, compared to a current price of A$5.63 — trading 7.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is 0.92, which is 12% below median its 10-year median of 1.04 and 62.6% below the Travel & Leisure industry median of 2.46. The Lottery's overall GF Score™ is 63/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The Lottery (ASX:TLC), the current Altman Z2-Score is 0.92 as of Jun. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is The Lottery (ASX:TLC) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Lottery stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of A$5.63 is trading 7.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$5.23.
GuruFocus considers The Lottery to be Fairly Valued.
Key valuation signals for ASX:TLC:
Altman Z2-Score: 0.92 (12% below median its 10-year median of 1.04)
GF Value™: A$5.23 vs. price of A$5.63 (7.6% above fair value)
Industry Position: 62.6% below the Travel & Leisure median (#573 of 851)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:TLC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
The Lottery Corporation is Australia's largest provider of lottery, keno, and instant-scratch products, with long-dated and/or exclusive licenses for the lottery in all Australian states and territories except Western Australia, and in most states and territories for keno. Lottery Corp has a distribution network of more than 3,800 franchised retailers that sell instant-scratch and lottery products through vendors such as newsstands, gas stations, pharmacies, and convenience stores, as well as online sales. Keno is sold in over 3,400 bars and clubs.
63GF Score
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