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The Lottery (ASX:TLC) Beneish M-Score : -2.36 (As of Mar. 30, 2025)


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What is The Lottery Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.36 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Lottery's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:TLC' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.36   Med: -2.36   Max: -2.36
Current: -2.36

During the past 3 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of The Lottery was -2.36. The lowest was -2.36. And the median was -2.36.


The Lottery Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Lottery's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Lottery Beneish M-Score Chart

The Lottery Annual Data
Trend Jun22 Jun23 Jun24
Beneish M-Score
- - -2.36

The Lottery Semi-Annual Data
Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - -2.36 -

Competitive Comparison of The Lottery's Beneish M-Score

For the Gambling subindustry, The Lottery's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Lottery's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, The Lottery's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Lottery's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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The Lottery Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of The Lottery for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0037+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0634+0.892 * 1.1369+0.115 * 0.9796
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0303+4.679 * -0.006347-0.327 * 0.9726
=-2.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun24) TTM:Last Year (Jun23) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$48 Mil.
Revenue was A$3,977 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$3,977 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$706 Mil.
Total Assets was A$4,364 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$157 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$108 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$188 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$1,026 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$2,467 Mil.
Net Income was A$414 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$-51 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$493 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$42 Mil.
Revenue was A$3,498 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$3,498 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$926 Mil.
Total Assets was A$4,371 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$147 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$98 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$161 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$1,058 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$2,539 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(47.7 / 3977) / (41.8 / 3498)
=0.011994 / 0.01195
=1.0037

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3498 / 3498) / (3977 / 3977)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (706.3 + 156.6) / 4364.2) / (1 - (926.4 + 147) / 4370.9)
=0.802278 / 0.754421
=1.0634

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3977 / 3498
=1.1369

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(98.2 / (98.2 + 147)) / (108.3 / (108.3 + 156.6))
=0.400489 / 0.408834
=0.9796

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(188 / 3977) / (160.5 / 3498)
=0.047272 / 0.045883
=1.0303

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((2467.3 + 1025.8) / 4364.2) / ((2538.8 + 1058.4) / 4370.9)
=0.800399 / 0.822988
=0.9726

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(414 - -51.1 - 492.8) / 4364.2
=-0.006347

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The Lottery has a M-score of -2.36 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


The Lottery Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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The Lottery Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
180 Ann Street, Level 8, Brisbane, QLD, AUS, 4000
The Lottery Corp is Australia's largest provider of lottery, Keno and instant scratch products, with long-dated and/or exclusive licences for lottery in all Australian states and territories except Western Australia, and in most states and territories for Keno. The Lottery Corp has a distribution network of over 3,800 franchised retailers selling instant scratch and lottery products through vendors such as newsagents, service stations, pharmacies, and convenience stores, in addition to online sales. Keno is sold in over 3,400 pubs and clubs.