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BIOR (Biora Therapeutics) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-21,591.07 (As of Sep24)


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What is Biora Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep24, Biora Therapeutics's earnings power value is $-21,591.07. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Biora Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Biora Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Biora Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Biora Therapeutics Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - -111,858.00

Biora Therapeutics Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -207,425.00 -111,858.00 -75,682.00 -15,199.40 -21,591.10

Competitive Comparison of Biora Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Biora Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Biora Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Biora Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Biora Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Biora Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Biora Therapeutics's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 7.98
DDA 1.17
Operating Margin % -92,905.13
SGA * 25% 14.24
Tax Rate % 4.17
Maintenance Capex 1.35
Cash and Cash Equivalents 3.20
Short-Term Debt 39.31
Long-Term Debt 0.34
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 3.65

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -92,905.13%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $7.98 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -92,905.13%, Average Adjusted SGA = 14.24,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 7.98 * -92,905.13% +14.24 = $-7402.190936952 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 4.17%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $-7402.190936952 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -7402.190936952 * ( 1 - 4.17% ) = $-7093.889684428 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 1.17 * 0.5 * 4.17% = $0.02441523 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -7093.889684428 + 0.02441523 = $-7093.865269198 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Biora Therapeutics's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $1.35 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Biora Therapeutics's current cash and cash equivalent = $3.20 Mil.
Biora Therapeutics's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.34 + 39.31 = $39.646 Mil.
Biora Therapeutics's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 3.65 Mil.

Biora Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -7093.865269198 - 1.35)/ 9%+3.20-39.646 )/3.65
=-21,591.07

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -21591.065392822-0.5721 )/-21591.065392822
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Biora Therapeutics  (OTCPK:BIOR) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Biora Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Biora Therapeutics Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4330 La Jolla Village Drive, Suite 300, San Diego, CA, USA, 92122
Biora Therapeutics Inc is a biotechnology company engaged in developing oral biotherapeutics. Its drug-device combinations could enable new treatment approaches in the delivery of therapeutics in two main areas: Targeted delivery of therapeutics to the site of disease in the gastrointestinal ("GI") tract, which is designed to improve outcomes for patients with Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD); and Systemic delivery of biotherapeutics, which are designed to replace injection with needle-free, oral delivery technology.
Executives
Athyrium Opportunities Iii Co-invest 1 Lp 10 percent owner 505 FIFTH AVENUE, FLOOR 18, NEW YORK NY 10017
Surbhi Sarna director ONE PENUMBRA PLACE, ALAMEDA CA 94502
Aditya P. Mohanty director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1010 ATLANTIC AVENUE, SUITE 102, ALAMEDA CA 94501
Jill Ann Howe director C/O DTX PHARMA, INC., 10655 SORRENTO VALLEY ROAD, SUITE 100, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Athyrium Capital Management, Lp 10 percent owner 505 FIFTH AVENUE, FLOOR 18, NEW YORK NY 10017
Athyrium Opportunities Fund (a) Lp 10 percent owner 605 THIRD AVENUE, 22ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10158
Hutan Hashemi officer: Chief Compliance Officer 4330 LA JOLLA VILLAGE DRIVE, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Damon Silvestry officer: Chief Operating Officer 4330 LA JOLLA VILLAGE DRIVE, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Jeffrey D. Alter director 4330 LA JOLLA VILLAGE DRIVE, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Athyrium Opportunities Iii Acquisition Lp 10 percent owner 505 FIFTH AVENUE, 18TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Harry Stylli director, officer: Chairman & CEO 3595 JOHN HOPKINS CT, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Matthew T Cooper officer: Chief Scientific Officer 4330 LA JOLLA VILLAGE DRIVE, SUITE 200, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Athyrium Opportunities Advisers Llc 10 percent owner 1209 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10104
Athyrium Opportunities Associates Gp Llc 10 percent owner 1209 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10104
Athyrium Opportunities Associates Lp 10 percent owner 1209 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10104