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GOF (Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-3.41 (As of May24)


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What is Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of May24, Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund's earnings power value is $-3.41. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund Annual Data
Trend May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23 May24
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
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Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund Semi-Annual Data
May17 Nov17 May18 Nov18 May19 Nov19 May20 Nov20 May21 Nov21 May22 Nov22 May23 Nov23 May24
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Competitive Comparison of Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 5 Years Last Year
Revenue 36.5
DDA 0.0
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 0.4
Tax Rate % 0.00
Maintenance Capex 0.0
Cash and Cash Equivalents 5.5
Short-Term Debt 0.0
Long-Term Debt 361.8
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 104.5

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $36.5 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0.4,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 36.5 * 0.00% +0.4 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.00%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 0.00% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.0 * 0.5 * 0.00% = $0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.0 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund's current cash and cash equivalent = $5.5 Mil.
Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 361.8 + 0.0 = $361.756 Mil.
Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 104.5 Mil.

Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for May24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0 - 0.0)/ 9%+5.5-361.756 )/104.5
=-3.41

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -3.4072561360549-15.68 )/-3.4072561360549
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund  (NYSE:GOF) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
227 West Monroe Street, Chicago, IL, USA, 60606
Guggenheim Strategic Opportunities Fund is a diversified, closed-end management investment company. The investment objective of the firm is to maximize total return through a combination of current income and capital appreciation. The Fund seeks to combine a credit-managed fixed-income portfolio with access to a diversified pool of alternative investments and equity strategies.
Executives
Angela Brock-kyle director, other: Trustee 3700 COLONNADE PARKWAY, BIRMINGHAM AL 35243
Randall C Barnes director, other: Trustee 2455 CORPORATE WEST DRIVE, LISLE IL 60187
Toupin Ronald E Jr director, other: Trustee 117 ASHLAND AVENUE, RIVER FOREST IL 60305
Hollowell Iii Orenzo Perry other: Portfolio Manager 330 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
William Rehder officer: Assistant Vice President 227 W MONROE STREET, CHICAGO IL 60606
Lydon Thomas F Jr director, other: Trustee
Sandra G Sponem director, other: Trustee 800 NICOLLET MALL, J1012057, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55402-7020
Evan Loring Serdensky other: Portfolio Manager 227 WEST MONROE STREET, CHICAGO IL 60606
B. Scott Minerd other: Chief Investment Officer 2455 CORPORATE WEST DRIVE, LISLE IL 60532
Roman Iii Friedrich director, other: Trustee and Chairman 920-800 WEST PENDER STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6C 2V6
Maynard F. Oliverius director, other: Trustee 2455 CORPORATE WEST DRIVE, LISLE IL 60532
Jon Szafran officer: Assistant Treasurer 227 W. MONROE STREET, CHICAGO IL 60606
Adam Bloch other: portfolio manager 2455 CORPORATE WEST DRIVE, LISLE IL 60532
Brian E. Binder officer: President and CEO C/O ANJIE LAROCCA, DEUTSCHE BANK, 60 WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 11752
Keith David Kemp officer: Assistant Treasurer MACQUARIE FUND ADVISER LLC, 125 WEST 55TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019