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Texwinca Holdings (HKSE:00321) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : HK$2.61 (As of Mar24)


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What is Texwinca Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, Texwinca Holdings's earnings power value is HK$2.61. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 72.46

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Texwinca Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Texwinca Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Texwinca Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Texwinca Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.96 3.65 3.93 3.63 2.61

Texwinca Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 3.63 - 2.61 -

Competitive Comparison of Texwinca Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Textile Manufacturing subindustry, Texwinca Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Texwinca Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Texwinca Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Texwinca Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.


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Texwinca Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Texwinca Holdings's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 5 Years Last Year
Revenue 6,890
DDA 434
Operating Margin % 1.60
SGA * 25% 465
Tax Rate % 21.91
Maintenance Capex 203
Cash and Cash Equivalents 1,591
Short-Term Debt 433
Long-Term Debt 811
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 1,382

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 1.60%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = HK$6,890 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 1.60%, Average Adjusted SGA = 465,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 6,890 * 1.60% +465 = HK$575.160909968 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 21.91%, and "Normalized" EBIT = HK$575.160909968 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 575.160909968 * ( 1 - 21.91% ) = HK$449.13165137581 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 434 * 0.5 * 21.91% = HK$47.495048832 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 449.13165137581 + 47.495048832 = HK$496.62670020781 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Texwinca Holdings's Average Maintenance CAPEX = HK$203 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Texwinca Holdings's current cash and cash equivalent = HK$1,591 Mil.
Texwinca Holdings's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 811 + 433 = HK$1244.75 Mil.
Texwinca Holdings's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 1,382 Mil.

Texwinca Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 496.62670020781 - 203)/ 9%+1,591-1244.75 )/1,382
=2.61

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 2.6144075446071-0.72 )/2.6144075446071
= 72.46%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Texwinca Holdings  (HKSE:00321) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Texwinca Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Texwinca Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
223 Hing Fong Road, 16th Floor, Metroplaza, Tower II, Kwai Chung, New Territories, Hong Kong, HKG
Texwinca Holdings Ltd is a Hong Kong-based company. The company is principally engaged in the textile business, which refers to production, dyeing, and sale of knitted fabric and yarn garments, and the retail & distribution of casual apparel and accessories business, which means retailing and distribution of casual apparel and accessories. The textile business and the retail and distribution business jointly account for majority of the company's total revenue. The company is also involved in providing repair and maintenance services for motor vehicles, offering franchise services, and others. The company generates its revenue from Mainland China, the United States, Japan, Hong Kong, and other areas, with Mainland China being the largest revenue contributor.
Executives
Fil Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Pandanus Associates Inc. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Pandanus Partners L.p. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. 2502 Approved lending agent
Poon Bun Chak 2307 Founder of a discretionary trust who can infl
Fidelity Funds 2101 Beneficial owner
Edgbaston Investment Partners Llp 2102 Investment manager
Farrow Star Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Poon's Holdings Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Ubs Trustees (b.v.i.) Limited 2301 Trustee

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