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Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co (HKSE:02210) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : HK$15.49 (As of Dec23)


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What is Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec23, Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co's earnings power value is HK$15.49. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 78.32

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - 15.72 15.69

Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co Semi-Annual Data
Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 15.72 - 15.69 -

Competitive Comparison of Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 5 Years Last Year
Revenue 1,541
DDA 20
Operating Margin % 6.61
SGA * 25% 52
Tax Rate % 24.07
Maintenance Capex 12
Cash and Cash Equivalents 1,209
Short-Term Debt 104
Long-Term Debt 22
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 147

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 6.61%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = HK$1,541 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 6.61%, Average Adjusted SGA = 52,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,541 * 6.61% +52 = HK$153.55313236 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 24.07%, and "Normalized" EBIT = HK$153.55313236 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 153.55313236 * ( 1 - 24.07% ) = HK$116.59903552624 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 20 * 0.5 * 24.07% = HK$2.36279988 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 116.59903552624 + 2.36279988 = HK$118.96183540624 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co's Average Maintenance CAPEX = HK$12 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co's current cash and cash equivalent = HK$1,209 Mil.
Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 22 + 104 = HK$126.336 Mil.
Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 147 Mil.

Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 118.96183540624 - 12)/ 9%+1,209-126.336 )/147
=15.49

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 15.49480307289-3.36 )/15.49480307289
= 78.32%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co  (HKSE:02210) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
18 North Taipingzhuang Road, 11th Floor, Building B, Chengjian Plaza, Haidian District, Beijing, CHN, 100088
Beijing Capital Jiaye Property Services Co Ltd is a China-based company principally engaged in providing integrated property management services, community value-added services, and value-added services to non-property owners. The company's services mainly include security services, cleaning services, greening and gardening services, repair and maintenance services, and customer services. In addition, the company also provides community value-added services such as heating services, catering services, real estate brokerage services, and parking space operation services, and non-owner value-added services such as case and model room management, pre-delivery support services, tenant solicitation, and management services.
Executives
Hwabao Trust Co., Ltd 2301 Trustee
Hu Junsheng 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
China International Capital Corporation (hong Kong) Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
China International Capital Corporation Hong Kong Securities Limited 2105 Underwriter
Cai Tong Ji Jin Guan Li You Xian Gong Si 2501 Other
Cai Tong Zheng Quan Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Lu Shang Xiang Gang You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Bei Jing Cheng Jian Liu Jian She Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2501 Other
Bei Jing Cheng Jian Chang Cheng Jian She Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2501 Other
Hua An Ji Jin Jin Xi Dan Yi Zi Chan Guan Li Ji Hua 2501 Other
Hua An Ji Jin Jin Ying Dan Yi Zi Chan Guan Li Ji Hua 2501 Other
Bei Jing Cheng Jian Bei Fang Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2501 Other
Bei Shi Tou Zi Ji Tuan You Xian Ze Ren Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Bei Jing Cheng Jian Yuan Dong Jian She Tou Zi Ji Tuan You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Cai Tong Ji Jin Cai Tong Hai Wai Hao Dan Yi Zi Chan Guan Li Ji Hua 2501 Other

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