Adtraction Group AB (OSTO:ADTR) Earnings Power Value (EPV): kr14.38 (As of Mar26)

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OSTO:ADTR Adtraction Group AB OSTO:ADTR
84 GF Score
Price kr37.00
GF Value kr34.57
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Adtraction Group AB Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

Adtraction Group AB OSTO:ADTR -6.80% 84 Earnings Power Value (EPV) is kr14.38 as of Mar26. GuruFocus rates OSTO:ADTR with a GF Score™ of 84/100 and a GF Value™ of kr34.57 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

As of Mar26, Adtraction Group AB's earnings power value is kr14.38. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -157.3

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Adtraction Group AB  (OSTO:ADTR) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Adtraction Group AB Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms


Adtraction Group AB Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Adtraction Group AB's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Adtraction Group AB Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Adtraction Group AB Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.79

Adtraction Group AB Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 14.12 15.13 14.79 14.38

OSTO:ADTR vs APP, OMC, TTD: Earnings Power Value (EPV) Comparison

For the Advertising Agencies subindustry, Adtraction Group AB's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Adtraction Group AB Earnings Power Value (EPV) vs Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Adtraction Group AB's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Adtraction Group AB's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.


OSTO:ADTR
84GF Score
Adtraction Group AB OSTO:ADTR
Earnings Power Value (EPV) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Adtraction Group AB Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Adtraction Group AB's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,104
DDA 50
Operating Margin % 0.50
SGA * 25% 0
Tax Rate % 26.00
Maintenance Capex 1
Cash and Cash Equivalents 134
Short-Term Debt 0
Long-Term Debt 0
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 17

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.50%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = kr1,104 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.50%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,104 * 0.50% +0 = kr5.701512014 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 26.00%, and "Normalized" EBIT = kr5.701512014 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 5.701512014 * ( 1 - 26.00% ) = kr4.2189478449996 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 50 * 0.5 * 26.00% = kr6.455946831 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 4.2189478449996 + 6.455946831 = kr10.674894676 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Adtraction Group AB's Average Maintenance CAPEX = kr1 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Adtraction Group AB's current cash and cash equivalent = kr134 Mil.
Adtraction Group AB's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0 + 0 = kr0 Mil.
Adtraction Group AB's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 17 Mil.

Adtraction Group AB's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar26 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 10.674894676 - 1)/ 9%+134-0 )/17
=14.38

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 14.380235919459-37.00 )/14.380235919459
= -157.3%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

What does a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of kr14.38 mean?
Adtraction Group AB (OSTO:ADTR) has a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of kr14.38 as of Mar26. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on Adtraction Group AB and its competitors.
Is Adtraction Group AB's Earnings Power Value (EPV) too high?
Adtraction Group AB's current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is kr14.38. Overall, Adtraction Group AB has a GF Score™ of 84/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Adtraction Group AB's Earnings Power Value (EPV) compare to APP and OMC?
Adtraction Group AB's Earnings Power Value (EPV) of kr14.38 can be compared against companies in the Media - Diversified industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Earnings Power Value (EPV) for a Media - Diversified company?
A good Earnings Power Value (EPV) depends on the Media - Diversified industry context. However, Earnings Power Value (EPV) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Earnings Power Value (EPV) mean?
A high Earnings Power Value (EPV) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on Adtraction Group AB and its competitors. Adtraction Group AB's current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is kr14.38. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Adtraction Group AB stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Adtraction Group AB (OSTO:ADTR) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is kr34.57, compared to a current price of kr37.00 — trading 7% above its estimated fair value. The current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is kr14.38. Adtraction Group AB's overall GF Score™ is 84/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Earnings Power Value (EPV) calculated?
Earnings Power Value (EPV) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Adtraction Group AB (OSTO:ADTR), the current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is kr14.38 as of Mar26. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Adtraction Group AB (OSTO:ADTR) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Adtraction Group AB stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of kr37.00 is trading 7% above its estimated GF Value™ of kr34.57. GuruFocus considers Adtraction Group AB to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for OSTO:ADTR:

  • Earnings Power Value (EPV): kr14.38
  • GF Value™: kr34.57 vs. price of kr37.00 (7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 84/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the OSTO:ADTR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Adtraction Group AB Business Description

Address Biblioteksgatan 29, Stockholm, SWE, 114 35
Adtraction Group AB is a full-service partner marketing platform, helping brands across multiple industries attract new customers, while helping partners monetise content and traffic. With a user-friendly platform, Adtraction connects brands with a diverse range of marketing partners, ranging from content sites, influencers, affiliates, mobile apps and comparison sites.
84GF Score

Get the complete analysis for OSTO:ADTR

Earnings Power Value (EPV) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

kr37.00
Price
kr34.57
GF Value