GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Homebuilding & Construction » Taylor Morrison Home Corp (NYSE:TMHC) » Definitions » Earnings Power Value (EPV)

TMHC (Taylor Morrison Home) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $68.83 (As of Sep24)


View and export this data going back to 2013. Start your Free Trial

What is Taylor Morrison Home Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep24, Taylor Morrison Home's earnings power value is $68.83. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 5.97

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Taylor Morrison Home Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Taylor Morrison Home's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Taylor Morrison Home Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Taylor Morrison Home Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.03 8.48 15.95 41.77 61.65

Taylor Morrison Home Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 53.01 61.65 62.72 63.31 68.83

Competitive Comparison of Taylor Morrison Home's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Residential Construction subindustry, Taylor Morrison Home's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Taylor Morrison Home's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Homebuilding & Construction Industry

For the Homebuilding & Construction industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Taylor Morrison Home's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Taylor Morrison Home's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Taylor Morrison Home Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Taylor Morrison Home's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 7,310
DDA 37
Operating Margin % 12.59
SGA * 25% 165
Tax Rate % 20.77
Maintenance Capex 29
Cash and Cash Equivalents 256
Short-Term Debt 0
Long-Term Debt 2,223
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 106

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 12.59%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $7,310 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 12.59%, Average Adjusted SGA = 165,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 7,310 * 12.59% +165 = $1085.041809128 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 20.77%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $1085.041809128 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 1085.041809128 * ( 1 - 20.77% ) = $859.66777495402 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 37 * 0.5 * 20.77% = $3.850777232 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 859.66777495402 + 3.850777232 = $863.51855218602 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Taylor Morrison Home's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $29 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Taylor Morrison Home's current cash and cash equivalent = $256 Mil.
Taylor Morrison Home's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 2,223 + 0 = $2222.649 Mil.
Taylor Morrison Home's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 106 Mil.

Taylor Morrison Home's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 863.51855218602 - 29)/ 9%+256-2222.649 )/106
=68.83

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 68.826883527146-64.72 )/68.826883527146
= 5.97%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Taylor Morrison Home  (NYSE:TMHC) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Taylor Morrison Home Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Taylor Morrison Home's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Taylor Morrison Home Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4900 N. Scottsdale Road, Suite 2000, Scottsdale, AZ, USA, 85251
Taylor Morrison Home Corp is an American residential construction company engaged in residential homebuilding and the development of lifestyle communities. It designs, builds and sells single and multi-family detached and attached homes in traditionally high growth markets for entry level, move-up, and resort lifestyle buyers. The company has four reportable segments: East, Central, West and Financial Services. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from its East Segment.
Executives
William H Lyon director C/O TAYLOR MORRISON HOME CORP., 4900 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 2000, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
Darrell Sherman officer: EVP, CLO & Secretary 4900 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 2000, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
Christopher J. Yip director 301 COMMERCE STREET, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Sheryl Palmer officer: President and CEO 4900 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 2000, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
Curtis Vanhyfte officer: Interim CFO 4900 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 2000, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
Joseph Terracciano officer: Chief Accounting Officer 4900 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 2000, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
Louis Steffens officer: EVP and CFO 4900 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 2000, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
David C Merritt director CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS INC, 12405 POWERSCOURT DRIVE, ST LOUIS MO 63131
Denise Warren director 209 REDWOOD SHORES PKWY, REDWOOD CITY CA 94065
C. David Cone officer: Vice President and CFO 4900 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 2000, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
Gary H Hunt director C/O WILLIAM LYON HOMES, 4695 MACARTHUR COURT, 8TH FLOOR, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Peter R. Lane director 1500 SOLANA BOULEVARD, BUILDING 4, SUITE 4500, SOUTHLAKE TX 76092
Jeffry L. Flake director C/O 4900 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 2000, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
Andi Owen director 4900 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 2000, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85251
Tpg Group Holdings (sbs) Advisors, Inc. 10 percent owner C/O TPG GLOBAL, LLC, 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102