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Bank of The RyukyusLtd (TSE:8399) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : 円5,872.41 (As of Sep24)


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What is Bank of The RyukyusLtd Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep24, Bank of The RyukyusLtd's earnings power value is 円5,872.41. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is 80.86

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Bank of The RyukyusLtd Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Bank of The RyukyusLtd's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Bank of The RyukyusLtd Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Bank of The RyukyusLtd Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
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Bank of The RyukyusLtd Quarterly Data
Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Sep24
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Competitive Comparison of Bank of The RyukyusLtd's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Bank of The RyukyusLtd's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bank of The RyukyusLtd's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Bank of The RyukyusLtd's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bank of The RyukyusLtd's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Bank of The RyukyusLtd Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Bank of The RyukyusLtd's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 50,594
DDA 0
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 6,521
Tax Rate % 30.90
Maintenance Capex 0
Cash and Cash Equivalents 261,813
Short-Term Debt 0
Long-Term Debt 18,613
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 41

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = 円50,594 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 6,521,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 50,594 * 0.00% +6,521 = 円 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 30.90%, and "Normalized" EBIT = 円 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 30.90% ) = 円0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0 * 0.5 * 30.90% = 円0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0 = 円0 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Bank of The RyukyusLtd's Average Maintenance CAPEX = 円0 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Bank of The RyukyusLtd's current cash and cash equivalent = 円261,813 Mil.
Bank of The RyukyusLtd's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 18,613 + 0 = 円18613 Mil.
Bank of The RyukyusLtd's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 41 Mil.

Bank of The RyukyusLtd's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0 - 0)/ 9%+261,813-18613 )/41
=5,872.41

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 5872.4102960352-1124.00 )/5872.4102960352
= 80.86%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Bank of The RyukyusLtd  (TSE:8399) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Bank of The RyukyusLtd Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Bank of The RyukyusLtd Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2-1 Higashimachi, Okinawa, Naha Port Building, Naha, JPN, 900-0034
Bank of The RyukyusLtd is a banking and financial services group operating primarily in the Okinawa Prefecture. It was founded during the post-World War II era by ordinance of the U.S. military government for purposes of restoring financial order and stabilizing the currency given the region's importance. At present, it continues its regional strategic-orientation and provides a host of financial services to consumers and small to medium-size businesses in tourism-dependent Okinawa. These include general leasing, housing loans, debt guaranty, insurance, cash inspection and dispensing, credit cards and financing, clerical services, and surveys and research.

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