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Tatry Mountain Resorts AS (XBRA:1TMR001E) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : €-93.92 (As of Oct23)


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What is Tatry Mountain Resorts AS Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Oct23, Tatry Mountain Resorts AS's earnings power value is €-93.92. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Tatry Mountain Resorts AS Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Tatry Mountain Resorts AS's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Tatry Mountain Resorts AS Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Tatry Mountain Resorts AS Annual Data
Trend Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -47.71 -71.78 -84.69 -97.19 -93.92

Tatry Mountain Resorts AS Semi-Annual Data
Apr14 Oct14 Apr15 Oct15 Apr16 Oct16 Apr17 Oct17 Apr18 Oct18 Apr19 Oct19 Apr20 Oct20 Apr21 Oct21 Apr22 Oct22 Apr23 Oct23
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -84.69 - -97.19 - -93.92

Competitive Comparison of Tatry Mountain Resorts AS's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Resorts & Casinos subindustry, Tatry Mountain Resorts AS's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tatry Mountain Resorts AS's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Tatry Mountain Resorts AS's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tatry Mountain Resorts AS's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Tatry Mountain Resorts AS Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Tatry Mountain Resorts AS's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 5 Years Last Year
Revenue 124.2
DDA 26.9
Operating Margin % -0.16
SGA * 25% 0.2
Tax Rate % 23.24
Maintenance Capex 20.8
Cash and Cash Equivalents 17.8
Short-Term Debt 114.5
Long-Term Debt 336.9
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 6.7

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -0.16%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = €124.2 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -0.16%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0.2,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 124.2 * -0.16% +0.2 = €-0.034800436 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 23.24%, and "Normalized" EBIT = €-0.034800436 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -0.034800436 * ( 1 - 23.24% ) = €-0.0267128146736 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 26.9 * 0.5 * 23.24% = €3.1290336 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -0.0267128146736 + 3.1290336 = €3.1023207853264 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Tatry Mountain Resorts AS's Average Maintenance CAPEX = €20.8 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Tatry Mountain Resorts AS's current cash and cash equivalent = €17.8 Mil.
Tatry Mountain Resorts AS's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 336.9 + 114.5 = €451.424 Mil.
Tatry Mountain Resorts AS's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 6.7 Mil.

Tatry Mountain Resorts AS's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Oct23 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 3.1023207853264 - 20.8)/ 9%+17.8-451.424 )/6.7
=-93.92

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -93.920280991126-19.00 )/-93.920280991126
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Tatry Mountain Resorts AS  (XBRA:1TMR001E) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Tatry Mountain Resorts AS Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Tatry Mountain Resorts AS (XBRA:1TMR001E) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Demanovska Dolina 72, Liptovsky Mikulas, SVK, 031 01
Tatry Mountain Resorts AS is engaged in the operation of mountain resorts and amusement parks and the provision of tourist services in Central and Eastern Europe with a portfolio including the mountain resorts, amusement parks, golf resorts and hotels in the region. The company's business is divided into seven main segments - Mountain Resorts, Amusement Parks, Golf, Restaurants, Sports Services and Shops, Hotels and Real Estate Projects. The company owns or leases and operates mountain resorts in the High and Low Tatras, the Czech Republic, the Polish Beskydy Mountains and, most recently, Austria. The company also offers comprehensive additional services in resorts, such as restaurants, ski schools, sports shops and rental and service of ski equipment.

Tatry Mountain Resorts AS (XBRA:1TMR001E) Headlines

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