As of today (2026-06-28), Warner Music Group's share price is €23.50. Warner Music Group's GF Value is €30.61. Therefore, Warner Music Group's Price-to-GF-Value for today is 0.77. Based on the relationship between the current stock price and the GF Value, GuruFocus believes Warner Music Group is Data Out of Date, Use Caution.
The GF Value represents the intrinsic value of a stock, determined using GuruFocus' proprietary methodology. The GF Value Line on our stock Summary page provides an estimate of the stock’s fair-trading value.
To calculate this value, GuruFocus follows these steps:
We analyze historical correlations between the stock price and key business performance metrics, such as revenue, earnings, cash flow, and book value.
We identify the metrics that have the strongest historical correlation with the stock price and determine the historical multiples at which the stock has traded relative to these metrics.
Using these historical multiples as a reference, we estimate the stock's fair value while accounting for future business growth. Adjustments may be made based on the company’s past returns and growth trends.
GuruFocus believes that the GF Value Line represents the fair value at which a stock should trade. Stock prices typically fluctuate around this line. If a stock’s price is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is considered overvalued, and its future returns are likely to be lower. Conversely, if the stock price is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future returns are likely to be higher.
Warner Music Group (HAM:WA4) GF Value Explanation
Based on the relationship between the current stock price and the GF Value, GuruFocus provides the following 6 ratings:
(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our GF Valuation filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab, and Price-to-GF-Value filter under Valuation Ratio tab and set your own criteria.
(2) A sufficient margin of safety exists only when the stock is undervalued.
Possible Value Trap, Think Twice companies are those that appear significantly undervalued based on their Price-to-GF-Value ratio, but whose fundamentals show signs of weakness.
Indicators that a company may be a value trap include:
* Deteriorating Financial Health: A low Altman Z-scores indicates a higher risk of bankruptcy, or a low Piotroski F-Score. * Earnings Manipulation: A high Beneish M-score indicates potential earnings manipulation, raising concerns about the reliability of reported financials. * Stagnant or Declining Growth: Lack of revenue or earnings growth, or a recent slowdown, may signal limited future prospects.
Investors should conduct thorough due diligence, examining financial statements and growth indicators, to avoid falling into value traps.
Warner Music Group's Price-to-GF-Value for today is calculated as
Price-to-GF-Value
=
Share Price
/
GF Value
=
23.50
/
30.61
=
0.77
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Warner Music Group (HAM:WA4) has a GF Value of €30.61 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GF Value represents the current intrinsic value of a stock derived from our exclusive method. View historical data on Warner Music Group and its competitors.
Is Warner Music Group's GF Value too high?
Warner Music Group's current GF Value is €30.61. Overall, Warner Music Group has a GF Score™ of 79/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Warner Music Group's GF Value compare to TKO and NWSA?
Warner Music Group's GF Value of €30.61 can be compared against companies in the Media - Diversified industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good GF Value for a Media - Diversified company?
A good GF Value depends on the Media - Diversified industry context. However, GF Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high GF Value mean?
A high GF Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. GF Value represents the current intrinsic value of a stock derived from our exclusive method. View historical data on Warner Music Group and its competitors. Warner Music Group's current GF Value is €30.61. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Warner Music Group stock overvalued right now?
Warner Music Group (HAM:WA4) has a current GF Value of €30.61. The stock's GF Value™ is €30.61, compared to a current price of €23.50 — trading 23.2% below its estimated fair value. The current GF Value is €30.61. Warner Music Group's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is GF Value calculated?
GF Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Warner Music Group (HAM:WA4), the current GF Value is €30.61 as of Jun. 28, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Warner Music Group (HAM:WA4) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Warner Music Group stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of €23.50 is trading 23.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of €30.61.
Key valuation signals for HAM:WA4:
GF Value: €30.61
GF Value™: €30.61 vs. price of €23.50 (23.2% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the HAM:WA4 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Warner Music is the third-largest of the three major record companies. Recorded music accounts for most of the firm's revenue, with the segment housing notable record labels including Atlantic Records, Warner Records, Elektra Records. Some of the most successful current artists signed to record deals with Warner include Ed Sheeran, Bruno Mars, Cardi B, and Dua Lipa. Warner's remaining revenue comes from its publishing business, where Warner Chappell represents more than 180,000 songwriters and composers, some of whom are also Warner recording artists but many of whom are not recording artists or are attached to other labels. Warner Chappell controls more than 1 million musical compositions. Access Industries controls 98% of Warner's voting rights, while holding a 72% economic interest.
79GF Score
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