Warner Music Group (HAM:WA4) Altman Z-Score: 1.50 (As of Jun. 29, 2026) — 14% Below Median


HAM:WA4 Warner Music Group Corp HAM:WA4
79 GF Score
Price €23.50
GF Value €30.61
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Warner Music Group Altman Z-Score?

Warner Music Group HAM:WA4 +1.21% 79 Altman Z-Score is 1.50 as of Jun. 29, 2026, which is 14% below its 10-year median of 1.74. GuruFocus rates HAM:WA4 with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of €30.61. The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,014 Media - Diversified companies, Warner Music Group ranks worse than 58.38% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.49 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Warner Music Group has a Altman Z-Score of 1.50, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Warner Music Group's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HAM:WA4' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.32   Med: 1.74   Max: 2.3
Current: 1.49

During the past 13 years, Warner Music Group's highest Altman Z-Score was 2.30. The lowest was 1.32. And the median was 1.74.


Warner Music Group  (HAM:WA4) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Warner Music Group Altman Z-Score Related Terms


Warner Music Group Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Warner Music Group's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Warner Music Group Altman Z-Score Chart

Warner Music Group Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.30 1.60 1.81 1.76 1.71

Warner Music Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.70 1.45 1.71 1.59 1.45

HAM:WA4 vs NWSA, TKO, PSKY: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Entertainment subindustry, Warner Music Group's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Warner Music Group Altman Z-Score vs Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Warner Music Group's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Warner Music Group's Altman Z-Score falls into.


HAM:WA4
79GF Score
Warner Music Group Corp HAM:WA4
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Warner Music Group Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Warner Music Group's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.1132+1.4*-0.1104+3.3*0.0717+0.6*1.4844+1.0*0.6673
=1.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was €9,179 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €2,785 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €3,824 Mil.
Retained Earnings was €-1,014 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 219.71 + 210.084 + 90.312 + -9.537 = €511 Mil.
Interest Expense was -35.465 + -38.43 + -36.636 + -37.281 = €-148 Mil.
Revenue was 1498.18 + 1571.36 + 1591.536 + 1464.363 = €6,125 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was €12,378 Mil.
Total Liabilities was €8,339 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2785.3 - 3824.165)/9179.38
=-0.1132

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-1013.78/9179.38
=-0.1104

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(510.569 - -147.812)/9179.38
=0.0717

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=12377.882/8338.6
=1.4844

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=6125.439/9179.38
=0.6673

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Warner Music Group has a Altman Z-Score of 1.50 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 1.50 mean?
Warner Music Group (HAM:WA4) has a Altman Z-Score of 1.50 as of Jun. 29, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Warner Music Group and its competitors. This is 14% below median its historical median of 1.74. Over the past decade, Warner Music Group's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.32 to 2.30. According to the industry distribution chart, Warner Music Group ranks #592 out of 1014 companies in the Media - Diversified industry, placing it in the top 58.4%.
Is Warner Music Group's Altman Z-Score too high?
Warner Music Group's current Altman Z-Score of 1.50 is 14% below median its 10-year median of 1.74. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.32 to a high of 2.30. The Media - Diversified industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.95. Warner Music Group's value of 1.50 is 23.1% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Warner Music Group ranks #592 out of 1014 companies in the Media - Diversified industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Warner Music Group has a GF Score™ of 79/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Warner Music Group's Altman Z-Score compare to NWSA and TKO?
According to the Media - Diversified industry distribution chart, Warner Music Group ranks #592 out of 1014 companies for Altman Z-Score. This places Warner Music Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 1.95. Warner Music Group's value of 1.50 is 23.1% below this benchmark. Historically, Warner Music Group's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 1.32 to 2.30 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.74 vs. the industry median of 1.95, Warner Music Group has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Media - Diversified company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Media - Diversified companies is 1.95, based on 1,014 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Warner Music Group's current Altman Z-Score of 1.50 is 23.1% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Warner Music Group and its competitors. For the Media - Diversified industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 1.95 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Warner Music Group's current Altman Z-Score is 1.50, which is 14% below median its own 10-year median of 1.74. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Warner Music Group stock overvalued right now?
Warner Music Group (HAM:WA4) has a current Altman Z-Score of 1.50. The stock's GF Value™ is €30.61, compared to a current price of €23.50 — trading 23.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 1.50, which is 14% below median its 10-year median of 1.74 and 23.1% below the Media - Diversified industry median of 1.95. Warner Music Group's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Warner Music Group (HAM:WA4), the current Altman Z-Score is 1.50 as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Warner Music Group (HAM:WA4) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Warner Music Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €23.50 is trading 23.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of €30.61.

Key valuation signals for HAM:WA4:

  • Altman Z-Score: 1.50 (14% below median its 10-year median of 1.74)
  • GF Value™: €30.61 vs. price of €23.50 (23.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 23.1% below the Media - Diversified median (#592 of 1014)

No single metric tells the full story. See the HAM:WA4 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Warner Music Group Business Description

Address 1633 Broadway, New York, NY, USA, 10019
Warner Music is the third-largest of the three major record companies. Recorded music accounts for most of the firm's revenue, with the segment housing notable record labels including Atlantic Records, Warner Records, Elektra Records. Some of the most successful current artists signed to record deals with Warner include Ed Sheeran, Bruno Mars, Cardi B, and Dua Lipa. Warner's remaining revenue comes from its publishing business, where Warner Chappell represents more than 180,000 songwriters and composers, some of whom are also Warner recording artists but many of whom are not recording artists or are attached to other labels. Warner Chappell controls more than 1 million musical compositions. Access Industries controls 98% of Warner's voting rights, while holding a 72% economic interest.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HAM:WA4

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€23.50
Price
€30.61
GF Value