Warner Music Group (HAM:WA4) Altman Z2-Score: -0.54 (As of Jun. 29, 2026)


HAM:WA4 Warner Music Group Corp HAM:WA4
79 GF Score
Price €23.81
GF Value €30.61
! 2 Warning Signs
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What is Warner Music Group Altman Z2-Score?

Warner Music Group HAM:WA4 +1.32% 79 Altman Z2-Score is -0.54 as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus rates HAM:WA4 with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of €30.61. The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,022 Media - Diversified companies, Warner Music Group ranks worse than 73.48% on this metric.

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Warning Sign:

Warner Music Group has a Altman Z2-Score of -0.54, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Warner Music Group's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

HAM:WA4' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.3   Med: -1.01   Max: -0.51
Current: -0.54

During the past 13 years, Warner Music Group's highest Altman Z2-Score was -0.51. The lowest was -2.30. And the median was -1.01.


Warner Music Group  (HAM:WA4) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Warner Music Group Altman Z2-Score Related Terms


Warner Music Group Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Warner Music Group's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Warner Music Group Altman Z2-Score Chart

Warner Music Group Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.37 -0.88 -0.77 -0.74 -0.88

Warner Music Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.71 -0.89 -0.88 -0.79 -0.54

HAM:WA4 vs NWSA, TKO, PSKY: Altman Z2-Score Comparison

For the Entertainment subindustry, Warner Music Group's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Warner Music Group Altman Z2-Score vs Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Warner Music Group's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Warner Music Group's Altman Z2-Score falls into.


HAM:WA4
79GF Score
Warner Music Group Corp HAM:WA4
Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Warner Music Group Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Warner Music Group's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*-0.1132+3.26*-0.1104+6.72*0.0717+1.05*0.0766
=-0.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was €9,179 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €2,785 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €3,824 Mil.
Retained Earnings was €-1,014 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 219.71 + 210.084 + 90.312 + -9.537 = €511 Mil.
Interest Expense was -35.465 + -38.43 + -36.636 + -37.281 = €-148 Mil.
Total Liabilities was €8,339 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2785.3 - 3824.165)/9179.38
=-0.1132

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=-1013.78/9179.38
=-0.1104

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(510.569 - -147.812)/9179.38
=0.0717

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(638.37 - 0)/8338.6
=0.0766

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Warner Music Group has a Altman Z2-Score of -0.54 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z2-Score →
What does a Altman Z2-Score of -0.54 mean?
Warner Music Group (HAM:WA4) has a Altman Z2-Score of -0.54 as of Jun. 29, 2026. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Warner Music Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Warner Music Group ranks #751 out of 1022 companies in the Media - Diversified industry, placing it in the top 73.5%.
Is Warner Music Group's Altman Z2-Score too high?
Warner Music Group's current Altman Z2-Score is -0.54. Based on the distribution chart, Warner Music Group ranks #751 out of 1022 companies in the Media - Diversified industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Warner Music Group has a GF Score™ of 79/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Warner Music Group's Altman Z2-Score compare to NWSA and TKO?
According to the Media - Diversified industry distribution chart, Warner Music Group ranks #751 out of 1022 companies for Altman Z2-Score. This places Warner Music Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z2-Score is 2.50. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z2-Score for a Media - Diversified company?
The median Altman Z2-Score among Media - Diversified companies is 2.50, based on 1,022 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z2-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z2-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z2-Score mean?
A high Altman Z2-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Z2-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies, which measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on Warner Music Group and its competitors. For the Media - Diversified industry, the median Altman Z2-Score is 2.50 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Warner Music Group's current Altman Z2-Score is -0.54. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Warner Music Group stock overvalued right now?
Warner Music Group (HAM:WA4) has a current Altman Z2-Score of -0.54. The stock's GF Value™ is €30.61, compared to a current price of €23.81 — trading 22.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z2-Score is -0.54. Warner Music Group's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z2-Score calculated?
Altman Z2-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Warner Music Group (HAM:WA4), the current Altman Z2-Score is -0.54 as of Jun. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Warner Music Group (HAM:WA4) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Warner Music Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €23.81 is trading 22.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of €30.61.

Key valuation signals for HAM:WA4:

  • Altman Z2-Score: -0.54
  • GF Value™: €30.61 vs. price of €23.81 (22.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HAM:WA4 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Warner Music Group Business Description

Address 1633 Broadway, New York, NY, USA, 10019
Warner Music is the third-largest of the three major record companies. Recorded music accounts for most of the firm's revenue, with the segment housing notable record labels including Atlantic Records, Warner Records, Elektra Records. Some of the most successful current artists signed to record deals with Warner include Ed Sheeran, Bruno Mars, Cardi B, and Dua Lipa. Warner's remaining revenue comes from its publishing business, where Warner Chappell represents more than 180,000 songwriters and composers, some of whom are also Warner recording artists but many of whom are not recording artists or are attached to other labels. Warner Chappell controls more than 1 million musical compositions. Access Industries controls 98% of Warner's voting rights, while holding a 72% economic interest.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HAM:WA4

Altman Z2-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€23.81
Price
€30.61
GF Value