Reef Casino Trust (ASX:RCT) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): A$2.25 (As of Jul. 25, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ASX:RCT Reef Casino Trust ASX:RCT
72 GF Score
Price A$3.84
GF Value A$3.01
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Reef Casino Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

Reef Casino Trust ASX:RCT +5.79% 72 Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is A$2.25 as of Jul. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:RCT with a GF Score™ of 72/100 and a GF Value™ of A$3.01 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 31 Travel & Leisure companies, Reef Casino Trust ranks worse than 3225803.23% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-25), Reef Casino Trust's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is A$2.25.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Reef Casino Trust's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Reef Casino Trust is -70.67%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Reef Casino Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:RCT's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Travel & Leisure industry.
Industry Median: 0.69
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Reef Casino Trust  (ASX:RCT) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Reef Casino Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms


Reef Casino Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Reef Casino Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Reef Casino Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Reef Casino Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Reef Casino Trust Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

ASX:RCT vs LVS, MGM, WYNN: Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Comparison

For the Resorts & Casinos subindustry, Reef Casino Trust's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Reef Casino Trust Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Reef Casino Trust's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Reef Casino Trust's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.


ASX:RCT
72GF Score
Reef Casino Trust ASX:RCT
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Reef Casino Trust Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.83%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Reef Casino Trust's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was -0.40%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = A$0.1953.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Reef Casino Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.1953*11.5406
=2.25

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (2.25 - 3.84) / 2.25
= -70.67 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of A$2.25 mean?
Reef Casino Trust (ASX:RCT) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of A$2.25 as of Jul. 25, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Reef Casino Trust and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Reef Casino Trust ranks #999999 out of 31 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry.
Is Reef Casino Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) too high?
Reef Casino Trust's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is A$2.25. Based on the distribution chart, Reef Casino Trust ranks #999999 out of 31 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Reef Casino Trust has a GF Score™ of 72/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Reef Casino Trust's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) compare to LVS and MGM?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Reef Casino Trust ranks #999999 out of 31 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based). This places Reef Casino Trust in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 0.69. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for a Travel & Leisure company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) among Travel & Leisure companies is 0.69, based on 31 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Reef Casino Trust and its competitors. For the Travel & Leisure industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 0.69 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Reef Casino Trust's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is A$2.25. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Reef Casino Trust stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Reef Casino Trust (ASX:RCT) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$3.01, compared to a current price of A$3.84 — trading 27.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is A$2.25. Reef Casino Trust's overall GF Score™ is 72/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Reef Casino Trust (ASX:RCT), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is A$2.25 as of Jul. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Reef Casino Trust (ASX:RCT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Reef Casino Trust stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of A$3.84 is trading 27.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$3.01. GuruFocus considers Reef Casino Trust to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:RCT:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): A$2.25
  • GF Value™: A$3.01 vs. price of A$3.84 (27.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 72/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:RCT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Reef Casino Trust Business Description

Address 35-41 Wharf Street, PO Box 7320, Cairns, QLD, AUS, 4870
Reef Casino Trust is engaged in the operation of the Reef Hotel-Casino Complex located in Cairns, Queensland, Australia. The company derives revenue from the casino, which includes electronic gaming and table games, and the hotel, which includes room accommodation and food and beverage, and others. The majority of the revenue is generated from the rental income received from the casino operations. The company operates in two segments, which includes Casino operations and Hotel segment.
72GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:RCT

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$3.84
Price
A$3.01
GF Value