Reef Casino Trust (ASX:RCT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: A$5.57 (As of Sep. 08, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ASX:RCT Reef Casino Trust ASX:RCT
69 GF Score
Price A$3.50
GF Value A$3.07
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 11 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Reef Casino Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Reef Casino Trust ASX:RCT -5.41% 69 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$5.57 as of Sep. 08, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:RCT with a GF Score™ of 69/100 and a GF Value™ of A$3.07 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 11 warning signs investors should review. Among 594 Travel & Leisure companies, Reef Casino Trust ranks better than 64.48% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-08), Reef Casino Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$5.57. The stock price of Reef Casino Trust is A$3.50. Therefore, Reef Casino Trust's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Reef Casino Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:RCT' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.5   Med: 0.59   Max: 0.72
Current: 0.63

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Reef Casino Trust was 0.72. The lowest was 0.50. And the median was 0.59.

ASX:RCT's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
64.48% of 594 companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 0.935 vs ASX:RCT: 0.63

Reef Casino Trust  (ASX:RCT) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Reef Casino Trust's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=3.50/5.5691437046107
=0.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Reef Casino Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Reef Casino Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Reef Casino Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Reef Casino Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Reef Casino Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.94 5.16 5.55 5.45 5.57

Reef Casino Trust Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 5.45 0.00 5.57 0.00

ASX:RCT vs LVS, MGM, WYNN: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Resorts & Casinos subindustry, Reef Casino Trust's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Reef Casino Trust Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Reef Casino Trust's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Reef Casino Trust's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


ASX:RCT
69GF Score
Reef Casino Trust ASX:RCT
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Reef Casino Trust Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Reef Casino Trust's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = A$11.18.

Reef Casino Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.534066072614*11.177571428571+12.193*0.8)/24.901
=5.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$5.57 mean?
Reef Casino Trust (ASX:RCT) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$5.57 as of Sep. 08, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Reef Casino Trust and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Reef Casino Trust ranks #211 out of 594 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 35.5%.
Is Reef Casino Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Reef Casino Trust's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$5.57. Based on the distribution chart, Reef Casino Trust ranks #211 out of 594 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Reef Casino Trust has a GF Score™ of 69/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Reef Casino Trust's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to LVS and MGM?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Reef Casino Trust ranks #211 out of 594 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Reef Casino Trust in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.94. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Travel & Leisure company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Travel & Leisure companies is 0.94, based on 594 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Reef Casino Trust and its competitors. For the Travel & Leisure industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.94 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Reef Casino Trust's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$5.57. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Reef Casino Trust stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Reef Casino Trust (ASX:RCT) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$3.07, compared to a current price of A$3.50 — trading 14% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$5.57. Reef Casino Trust's overall GF Score™ is 69/100 with 11 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Reef Casino Trust (ASX:RCT), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$5.57 as of Sep. 08, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Reef Casino Trust (ASX:RCT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Reef Casino Trust stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of A$3.50 is trading 14% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$3.07. GuruFocus considers Reef Casino Trust to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:RCT:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: A$5.57
  • GF Value™: A$3.07 vs. price of A$3.50 (14% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 69/100 with 11 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:RCT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Reef Casino Trust Business Description

Address 35-41 Wharf Street, PO Box 7320, Cairns, QLD, AUS, 4870
Reef Casino Trust is engaged in the operation of the Reef Hotel-Casino Complex located in Cairns, Queensland, Australia. The company derives revenue from the casino, which includes electronic gaming and table games, and the hotel, which includes room accommodation and food and beverage, and others. The majority of the revenue is generated from the rental income received from the casino operations. The company operates in two segments, which includes Casino operations and Hotel segment.
69GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:RCT

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$3.50
Price
A$3.07
GF Value