Reef Casino Trust (ASX:RCT) Peter Lynch Fair Value: A$1.22 (As of Jul. 12, 2026) — 19% Below Median


ASX:RCT Reef Casino Trust ASX:RCT
74 GF Score
Price A$3.72
GF Value A$3.01
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 9 Warning Signs
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What is Reef Casino Trust Peter Lynch Fair Value?

Reef Casino Trust ASX:RCT +3.33% 74 Peter Lynch Fair Value is A$1.22 as of Jul. 12, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 1.51. GuruFocus rates ASX:RCT with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of A$3.01 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 172 Travel & Leisure companies, Reef Casino Trust ranks worse than 91.86% on this metric.

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Reef Casino Trust's PEG is 1. Reef Casino Trust's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 5.62. Reef Casino Trust's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2025 was A$0.22. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is A$1.22.

As of today (2026-07-12), Reef Casino Trust's share price is A$3.72. Reef Casino Trust's Peter Lynch fair value is A$1.22. Therefore, Reef Casino Trust's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 3.05.


The historical rank and industry rank for Reef Casino Trust's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:RCT' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.31   Med: 1.51   Max: 3.05
Current: 3.05


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Reef Casino Trust was 3.05. The lowest was 1.31. And the median was 1.51.


ASX:RCT's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked worse than
91.86% of 172 companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 0.87 vs ASX:RCT: 3.05

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Reef Casino Trust  (ASX:RCT) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 5.62 instead of 15 in this case.

Reef Casino Trust's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=3.72/1.22
=3.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Reef Casino Trust Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms


Reef Casino Trust Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Reef Casino Trust's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Reef Casino Trust Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

Reef Casino Trust Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 2.12 1.80 1.82 1.22

Reef Casino Trust Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.80 0.00 1.82 0.00 1.22

ASX:RCT vs LVS, MGM, WYNN: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison

For the Resorts & Casinos subindustry, Reef Casino Trust's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Reef Casino Trust Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Reef Casino Trust's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Reef Casino Trust's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.


ASX:RCT
74GF Score
Reef Casino Trust ASX:RCT
Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Reef Casino Trust Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Reef Casino Trust's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 5.62 *0.217
=1.22

For company reported semi-annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data. Reef Casino Trust's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2025 was A$0.22.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Peter Lynch Fair Value →
What does a Peter Lynch Fair Value of A$1.22 mean?
Reef Casino Trust (ASX:RCT) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of A$1.22 as of Jul. 12, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Reef Casino Trust and its competitors. This is 19% below median its historical median of 1.51. Over the past decade, Reef Casino Trust's Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 1.31 to 3.05. According to the industry distribution chart, Reef Casino Trust ranks #158 out of 172 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 91.9%.
Is Reef Casino Trust's Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
Reef Casino Trust's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of A$1.22 is 19% below median its 10-year median of 1.51. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.31 to a high of 3.05. Based on the distribution chart, Reef Casino Trust ranks #158 out of 172 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Reef Casino Trust has a GF Score™ of 74/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Reef Casino Trust's Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to LVS and MGM?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Reef Casino Trust ranks #158 out of 172 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This places Reef Casino Trust in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 0.87. Historically, Reef Casino Trust's own Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 1.31 to 3.05 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for a Travel & Leisure company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Travel & Leisure companies is 0.87, based on 172 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Reef Casino Trust and its competitors. For the Travel & Leisure industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 0.87 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Reef Casino Trust's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is A$1.22, which is 19% below median its own 10-year median of 1.51. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Reef Casino Trust stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Reef Casino Trust (ASX:RCT) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$3.01, compared to a current price of A$3.72 — trading 23.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is A$1.22, which is 19% below median its 10-year median of 1.51. Reef Casino Trust's overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Reef Casino Trust (ASX:RCT), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is A$1.22 as of Jul. 12, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Reef Casino Trust (ASX:RCT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Reef Casino Trust stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of A$3.72 is trading 23.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$3.01. GuruFocus considers Reef Casino Trust to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:RCT:

  • Peter Lynch Fair Value: A$1.22 (19% below median its 10-year median of 1.51)
  • GF Value™: A$3.01 vs. price of A$3.72 (23.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 74/100 with 9 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:RCT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Reef Casino Trust Business Description

Address 35-41 Wharf Street, PO Box 7320, Cairns, QLD, AUS, 4870
Reef Casino Trust is engaged in the operation of the Reef Hotel-Casino Complex located in Cairns, Queensland, Australia. The company derives revenue from the casino, which includes electronic gaming and table games, and the hotel, which includes room accommodation and food and beverage, and others. The majority of the revenue is generated from the rental income received from the casino operations. The company operates in two segments, which includes Casino operations and Hotel segment.
74GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:RCT

Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$3.72
Price
A$3.01
GF Value