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Reef Casino TrustASX:RCT +0.27%70 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 18.53% as of Dec. 2025, which is 16% below its 10-year median of 22.18. GuruFocus rates ASX:RCT with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of A$3.00 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 568 Travel & Leisure companies, Reef Casino Trust ranks better than 59.86% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Reef Casino Trust's forward rate of return for was 18.53%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Reef Casino Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
ASX:RCT'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.45 Med: 22.18 Max: 34.56
Current: 17.55
During the past 13 years, Reef Casino Trust's highest Forward Rate of Return was 34.56. The lowest was 0.45. And the median was 22.18.
ASX:RCT's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than 59.86% of 568
companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 10.395
vs ASX:RCT: 17.55
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Reef Casino Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Reef Casino Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Reef Casino Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Reef Casino Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
ASX:RCT vs LVS, MGM, WYNN: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Resorts & Casinos subindustry, Reef Casino Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Reef Casino Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Travel & Leisure Industry
For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Reef Casino Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Reef Casino Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Reef Casino Trust Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 18.53% mean?
Reef Casino Trust (ASX:RCT) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 18.53% as of Dec. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Reef Casino Trust and its competitors. This is 16% below median its historical median of 22.18. Over the past decade, Reef Casino Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 0.45 to 34.56. According to the industry distribution chart, Reef Casino Trust ranks #228 out of 568 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 40.1%.
Is Reef Casino Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Reef Casino Trust's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 18.53% is 16% below median its 10-year median of 22.18. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.45 to a high of 34.56. The Travel & Leisure industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.40. Reef Casino Trust's value of 18.53% is 78.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Reef Casino Trust ranks #228 out of 568 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Reef Casino Trust has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Reef Casino Trust's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to LVS and MGM?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Reef Casino Trust ranks #228 out of 568 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Reef Casino Trust in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.40. Reef Casino Trust's value of 18.53% is 78.3% above this benchmark. Historically, Reef Casino Trust's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 0.45 to 34.56 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 22.18 vs. the industry median of 10.40, Reef Casino Trust has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Travel & Leisure company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Travel & Leisure companies is 10.40, based on 568 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Reef Casino Trust's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 18.53% is 78.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Reef Casino Trust and its competitors. For the Travel & Leisure industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 10.40 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Reef Casino Trust's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 18.53%, which is 16% below median its own 10-year median of 22.18. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Reef Casino Trust stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Reef Casino Trust (ASX:RCT) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$3.00, compared to a current price of A$3.77 — trading 25.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 18.53%, which is 16% below median its 10-year median of 22.18 and 78.3% above the Travel & Leisure industry median of 10.40. Reef Casino Trust's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Reef Casino Trust (ASX:RCT), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 18.53% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Reef Casino Trust (ASX:RCT) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Reef Casino Trust stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of A$3.77 is trading 25.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$3.00.
GuruFocus considers Reef Casino Trust to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for ASX:RCT:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 18.53% (16% below median its 10-year median of 22.18)
GF Value™: A$3.00 vs. price of A$3.77 (25.7% above fair value)
Industry Position: 78.3% above the Travel & Leisure median (#228 of 568)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:RCT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Reef Casino Trust is engaged in the operation of the Reef Hotel-Casino Complex located in Cairns, Queensland, Australia. The company derives revenue from the casino, which includes electronic gaming and table games, and the hotel, which includes room accommodation and food and beverage, and others. The majority of the revenue is generated from the rental income received from the casino operations. The company operates in two segments, which includes Casino operations and Hotel segment.
70GF Score
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