Arr Planner Co (TSE:2983) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): 円8,789.19 (As of Aug. 25, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TSE:2983 Arr Planner Co Ltd TSE:2983
74 GF Score
Price 円1,686.00
GF Value 円836.94
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Arr Planner Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

Arr Planner Co TSE:2983 +2.43% 74 Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円8,789.19 as of Aug. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:2983 with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of 円836.94 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 102 Real Estate companies, Arr Planner Co ranks worse than 980391.18% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-25), Arr Planner Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is 円8,789.19.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Arr Planner Co's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Arr Planner Co is 80.82%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Arr Planner Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:2983's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Real Estate industry.
Industry Median: 0.56
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Arr Planner Co  (TSE:2983) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Arr Planner Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms


Arr Planner Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Arr Planner Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Arr Planner Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Arr Planner Co Annual Data
Trend Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25 Jan26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Arr Planner Co Quarterly Data
Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26 Apr26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Arr Planner Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Competitor Comparison

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Arr Planner Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Arr Planner Co Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Arr Planner Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Arr Planner Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.


TSE:2983
74GF Score
Arr Planner Co Ltd TSE:2983
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Arr Planner Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 9%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 2.67%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Arr Planner Co's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 105.40%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = 円231.2397.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Arr Planner Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.09) = 1.1009174311927
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.09) = 0.95412844036697

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=231.2397*38.009
=8,789.19

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (8789.19 - 1686.00) / 8789.19
= 80.82 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of 円8,789.19 mean?
Arr Planner Co (TSE:2983) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of 円8,789.19 as of Aug. 25, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Arr Planner Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Arr Planner Co ranks #999999 out of 102 companies in the Real Estate industry.
Is Arr Planner Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) too high?
Arr Planner Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円8,789.19. Based on the distribution chart, Arr Planner Co ranks #999999 out of 102 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Arr Planner Co has a GF Score™ of 74/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Arr Planner Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) compare to competitors?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, Arr Planner Co ranks #999999 out of 102 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based). This places Arr Planner Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 0.56. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for a Real Estate company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) among Real Estate companies is 0.56, based on 102 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Arr Planner Co and its competitors. For the Real Estate industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 0.56 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Arr Planner Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円8,789.19. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Arr Planner Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Arr Planner Co (TSE:2983) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円836.94, compared to a current price of 円1,686.00 — trading 101.4% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円8,789.19. Arr Planner Co's overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Arr Planner Co (TSE:2983), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円8,789.19 as of Aug. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Arr Planner Co (TSE:2983) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Arr Planner Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円1,686.00 is trading 101.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円836.94. GuruFocus considers Arr Planner Co to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:2983:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): 円8,789.19
  • GF Value™: 円836.94 vs. price of 円1,686.00 (101.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 74/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:2983 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Arr Planner Co Business Description

Address 1-13-3 Higashisakura, Higashi-ku, NHK Nagoya Broadcasting Center Building, 10th Floor, Nagoya, JPN, 461-0005
Arr Planner Co Ltd specializes in custom housing and real estate services. Its custom housing division offers services such as custom homes, new detached house sales, renovations, exterior work, rental housing (land utilization), and commercial building design. The real estate division handles real estate sales and brokerage, new detached house sales, used house renovation, and profitable real estate trading.
74GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:2983

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,686.00
Price
円836.94
GF Value