Medius Holdings Co (TSE:3154) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): 円630.28 (As of Aug. 16, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TSE:3154 Medius Holdings Co Ltd TSE:3154
58 GF Score
Price 円780.00
GF Value 円1,009.74
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Medius Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

Medius Holdings Co TSE:3154 58 Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円630.28 as of Aug. 16, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:3154 with a GF Score™ of 58/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,009.74 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 73 Medical Devices & Instruments companies, Medius Holdings Co ranks worse than 1369861.64% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-16), Medius Holdings Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is 円630.28.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Medius Holdings Co's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Medius Holdings Co is -23.75%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Medius Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3154's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Medical Devices & Instruments industry.
Industry Median: 1.36
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Medius Holdings Co  (TSE:3154) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Medius Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms


Medius Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Medius Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Medius Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Medius Holdings Co Annual Data
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Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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Medius Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

TSE:3154 vs ISRG, BDX, MDLN: Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Comparison

For the Medical Instruments & Supplies subindustry, Medius Holdings Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Medius Holdings Co Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) vs Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Medius Holdings Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Medius Holdings Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.


TSE:3154
58GF Score
Medius Holdings Co Ltd TSE:3154
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Medius Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 9%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 2.67%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 9.40%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Medius Holdings Co's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 9.40%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 9.40%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = 円34.4619.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Medius Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.094)/(1+0.09) = 1.0036697247706
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.09) = 0.95412844036697

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=34.4619*18.2892
=630.28

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (630.28 - 780.00) / 630.28
= -23.75 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of 円630.28 mean?
Medius Holdings Co (TSE:3154) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of 円630.28 as of Aug. 16, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Medius Holdings Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Medius Holdings Co ranks #999999 out of 73 companies in the Medical Devices & Instruments industry.
Is Medius Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) too high?
Medius Holdings Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円630.28. Based on the distribution chart, Medius Holdings Co ranks #999999 out of 73 companies in the Medical Devices & Instruments industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Medius Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 58/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Medius Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) compare to ISRG and BDX?
According to the Medical Devices & Instruments industry distribution chart, Medius Holdings Co ranks #999999 out of 73 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based). This places Medius Holdings Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 1.36. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for a Medical Devices & Instruments company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) among Medical Devices & Instruments companies is 1.36, based on 73 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Medius Holdings Co and its competitors. For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 1.36 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Medius Holdings Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円630.28. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Medius Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Medius Holdings Co (TSE:3154) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,009.74, compared to a current price of 円780.00 — trading 22.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円630.28. Medius Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 58/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Medius Holdings Co (TSE:3154), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円630.28 as of Aug. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Medius Holdings Co (TSE:3154) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Medius Holdings Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円780.00 is trading 22.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,009.74. GuruFocus considers Medius Holdings Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:3154:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): 円630.28
  • GF Value™: 円1,009.74 vs. price of 円780.00 (22.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 58/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:3154 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Medius Holdings Co Business Description

Address 1-2-2 Yurakucho, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 104-0031
Medius Holdings Co Ltd is engaged in the healthcare sector. The company's business division includes Medical equipment sales business, Care and welfare business, and Solution business. The Medical equipment sales business offers syringes and gloves to surgical assistance along with repairs and maintenance of medical equipment, and The care and welfare business provides transfer equipment and electric powdered beds. The company's segments include: Medical equipment sales business; and Nursing care and welfare business. It derives maximum revenue from Medical equipment sales business.
58GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:3154

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円780.00
Price
円1,009.74
GF Value