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American Financial GroupAFE 75 Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $ as of Aug. 12, 2026. GuruFocus rates AFE with a GF Score™ of 75/100. The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 53 Insurance companies, American Financial Group ranks worse than 1886790.57% on this metric.
Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.
American Financial Group's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.
The industry rank for American Financial Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:
AFE's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Insurance industry.
Industry Median: 0.55 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.
1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.
American Financial Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms
American Financial Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for American Financial Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
American Financial Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart
For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, American Financial Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
American Financial Group Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) vs Insurance Industry
For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, American Financial Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where American Financial Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.
American Financial Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation
This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.
Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:
1. Discount Rate: d = 11% A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.69%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.
2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
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3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10
4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%
5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10
6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $. However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.
All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $ mean?
American Financial Group (AFE) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $ as of Aug. 12, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on American Financial Group and its competitors. Over the past decade, American Financial Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) has ranged from 0.06 to 0.87. According to the industry distribution chart, American Financial Group ranks #999999 out of 53 companies in the Insurance industry.
Is American Financial Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) too high?
American Financial Group's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.06 to a high of 0.87. Based on the distribution chart, American Financial Group ranks #999999 out of 53 companies in the Insurance industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, American Financial Group has a GF Score™ of 75/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does American Financial Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) compare to ORI and AIZ?
According to the Insurance industry distribution chart, American Financial Group ranks #999999 out of 53 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based). This places American Financial Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 0.55. Historically, American Financial Group's own Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) has ranged from 0.06 to 0.87 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for an Insurance company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) among Insurance companies is 0.55, based on 53 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on American Financial Group and its competitors. For the Insurance industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 0.55 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. American Financial Group's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is American Financial Group stock overvalued right now?
American Financial Group (AFE) has a current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $. American Financial Group's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For American Financial Group (AFE), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $ as of Aug. 12, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
American Financial Group Inc is an insurance holding company. Through its subsidiaries, it is engaged in the property and casualty insurance business, focusing on specialized commercial products for businesses. The group operates through two segments: Property and Casualty Insurance, which generates maximum revenue, and Other. The Property and Casualty Insurance segment is further divided into different sub-segments, such as Property and transportation, Specialty casualty, and Specialty financial. These sub-segments offer insurance coverage for vehicles and commercial property, customized programs for small to mid-sized businesses, workers' compensation insurance, risk management insurance programs for lending and leasing institutions, trade credit insurance, and other insurance products.
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