MAKO Surgical (FRA:4M6) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : €-3.53 (As of Jun. 25, 2024)

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What is MAKO Surgical Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-06-25), MAKO Surgical's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is €-3.53.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

MAKO Surgical's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for MAKO Surgical is N/A.

The industry rank for MAKO Surgical's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:4M6's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Medical Devices & Instruments industry.
Industry Median: 1.99
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

MAKO Surgical Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for MAKO Surgical's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

MAKO Surgical Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

MAKO Surgical Annual Data

Trend

Dec03

Dec04

Dec05

Dec06

Dec07

Dec08

Dec09

Dec10

Dec11

Dec12

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

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MAKO Surgical Quarterly Data
	Dec08	Mar09	Jun09	Sep09	Dec09	Mar10	Jun10	Sep10	Dec10	Mar11	Jun11	Sep11	Dec11	Mar12	Jun12	Sep12	Dec12	Mar13	Jun13	Sep13
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of MAKO Surgical's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Medical Devices subindustry, MAKO Surgical's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

MAKO Surgical's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, MAKO Surgical's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MAKO Surgical's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.

MAKO Surgical Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.24%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> MAKO Surgical's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = €-0.306.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

MAKO Surgical's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	=	Free Cash Flow per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Free Cash Flow per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Free Cash Flow per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

-0.306

11.5406

-3.53

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
	=	(-3.53	-	21.98)	/	-3.53
	=	N/A

MAKO Surgical (FRA:4M6) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

MAKO Surgical Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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MAKO Surgical (FRA:4M6) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » MAKO Surgical Corporation (FRA:4M6) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

Website

http://www.makosurgical.com

MAKO Surgical Corporation was incorporated in Delaware in November 2004. The Company is a medical device company that markets its advanced robotic arm solution, joint specific applications for the knee and hip, and orthopedic implants for orthopedic procedures. It offers MAKOplasty, an innovative, restorative surgical solution that enables orthopedic surgeons to consistently, reproducibly and precisely treat patient specific, osteoarthritic disease. The Company currently offers MAKOplasty Partial Knee Arthroplasty, or MAKOplasty PKA, and MAKOplasty Total Hip Arthroplasty, or MAKOplasty THA. MAKOplasty PKA, which requires extraction and replacement of the entire joint, enables resurfacing of one or two specific diseased compartments of the joint, preserving significantly more soft tissue and healthy bone of the knee. MAKOplasty procedures are enabled through its proprietary technology consisting of the components which includes its RIO system, its MAKOplasty applications, and its RESTORIS family of implant systems. The centerpiece of MAKOplasty is the RIO system, its proprietary robotic arm, interactive, orthopedic system, that provides both pre-operative and intra-operative guidance to the orthopedic surgeon, enabling tissue sparing bone removal and accurate implant insertion and alignment. The RIO system consists of two elements: a tactile robotic arm utilizing an integrated bone cutting instrument and a patient specific visualization component. The RIO system, version 2.0 of its Tactile Guidance System, or TGS, represents an important expansion from its first generation TGS, enabling and expanding the MAKOplasty PKA application to multicompartmental resurfacing procedures, allowing orthopedic surgeons to treat degenerative knee osteoarthritis from early-stage, unicompartmental degeneration through mid-stage, multicompartmental degeneration with a modular knee implant system, as well as enabling the MAKOplasty THA application. The Company's MAKOplasty PKA application enables surgeons to isolate and resurface just one or two specific diseased compartments of the joint through a minimally invasive incision, preserving significantly more soft tissue and healthy bone of the knee. The MAKOplasty knee resurfacing procedure is performed by the surgeon using the surgical planning and execution software integrated into its patient specific visualization system. The Company's MAKOplasty THA application utilizes the RIO system's tactile, visual and auditory feedback to assist the surgeon in preparing the acetabulum (hip socket) for optimal placement of the acetabular cup implant. The MAKOplasty THA application allows the surgeon to preoperatively plan the placement of the hip implants on a three dimensional image of a pre-operative CT scan. Its RESTORIS family of knee implants is designed to enable minimally invasive restoration of one or two of the diseased compartments of the knee joint. Its RESTORIS family of knee implants for use in si

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