GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » MAKO Surgical Corporation (FRA:4M6) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

MAKO Surgical (FRA:4M6) Predictability Rank


View and export this data going back to . Start your Free Trial

What is MAKO Surgical Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


MAKO Surgical Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

MAKO Surgical Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of MAKO Surgical's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


MAKO Surgical (FRA:4M6) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
MAKO Surgical Corporation was incorporated in Delaware in November 2004. The Company is a medical device company that markets its advanced robotic arm solution, joint specific applications for the knee and hip, and orthopedic implants for orthopedic procedures. It offers MAKOplasty, an innovative, restorative surgical solution that enables orthopedic surgeons to consistently, reproducibly and precisely treat patient specific, osteoarthritic disease. The Company currently offers MAKOplasty Partial Knee Arthroplasty, or MAKOplasty PKA, and MAKOplasty Total Hip Arthroplasty, or MAKOplasty THA. MAKOplasty PKA, which requires extraction and replacement of the entire joint, enables resurfacing of one or two specific diseased compartments of the joint, preserving significantly more soft tissue and healthy bone of the knee. MAKOplasty procedures are enabled through its proprietary technology consisting of the components which includes its RIO system, its MAKOplasty applications, and its RESTORIS family of implant systems. The centerpiece of MAKOplasty is the RIO system, its proprietary robotic arm, interactive, orthopedic system, that provides both pre-operative and intra-operative guidance to the orthopedic surgeon, enabling tissue sparing bone removal and accurate implant insertion and alignment. The RIO system consists of two elements: a tactile robotic arm utilizing an integrated bone cutting instrument and a patient specific visualization component. The RIO system, version 2.0 of its Tactile Guidance System, or TGS, represents an important expansion from its first generation TGS, enabling and expanding the MAKOplasty PKA application to multicompartmental resurfacing procedures, allowing orthopedic surgeons to treat degenerative knee osteoarthritis from early-stage, unicompartmental degeneration through mid-stage, multicompartmental degeneration with a modular knee implant system, as well as enabling the MAKOplasty THA application. The Company's MAKOplasty PKA application enables surgeons to isolate and resurface just one or two specific diseased compartments of the joint through a minimally invasive incision, preserving significantly more soft tissue and healthy bone of the knee. The MAKOplasty knee resurfacing procedure is performed by the surgeon using the surgical planning and execution software integrated into its patient specific visualization system. The Company's MAKOplasty THA application utilizes the RIO system's tactile, visual and auditory feedback to assist the surgeon in preparing the acetabulum (hip socket) for optimal placement of the acetabular cup implant. The MAKOplasty THA application allows the surgeon to preoperatively plan the placement of the hip implants on a three dimensional image of a pre-operative CT scan. Its RESTORIS family of knee implants is designed to enable minimally invasive restoration of one or two of the diseased compartments of the knee joint. Its RESTORIS family of knee implants for use in si

MAKO Surgical (FRA:4M6) Headlines

No Headlines