GDYN (Grid Dynamics Holdings) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based): $8.56 (As of Jul. 28, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

GDYN Grid Dynamics Holdings Inc GDYN
68 GF Score
Price $6.17
GF Value $13.07
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Grid Dynamics Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

Grid Dynamics Holdings GDYN +8.08% 68 Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $8.56 as of Jul. 28, 2026. GuruFocus rates GDYN with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of $13.07 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 312 Software companies, Grid Dynamics Holdings ranks worse than 320512.5% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-28), Grid Dynamics Holdings's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $8.56.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Grid Dynamics Holdings's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Grid Dynamics Holdings is 27.98%.

The industry rank for Grid Dynamics Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

GDYN's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Software industry.
Industry Median: 0.735
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Grid Dynamics Holdings  (NAS:GDYN) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Grid Dynamics Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms


Grid Dynamics Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Grid Dynamics Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Grid Dynamics Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Grid Dynamics Holdings Annual Data
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Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Grid Dynamics Holdings Quarterly Data
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GDYN vs FCCN, IBEX, TASK: Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Comparison

For the Information Technology Services subindustry, Grid Dynamics Holdings's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Grid Dynamics Holdings Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) vs Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Grid Dynamics Holdings's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Grid Dynamics Holdings's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.


GDYN
68GF Score
Grid Dynamics Holdings Inc GDYN
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Grid Dynamics Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.62%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Grid Dynamics Holdings's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 20.60%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.274.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Grid Dynamics Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.274*31.2501
=8.56

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(8.56-6.165)/8.56
=27.98 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $8.56 mean?
Grid Dynamics Holdings (GDYN) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $8.56 as of Jul. 28, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on Grid Dynamics Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Grid Dynamics Holdings ranks #999999 out of 312 companies in the Software industry.
Is Grid Dynamics Holdings' Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) too high?
Grid Dynamics Holdings' current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $8.56. The Software industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 0.74. Grid Dynamics Holdings' value of $8.56 is 1064.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Grid Dynamics Holdings ranks #999999 out of 312 companies in the Software industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Grid Dynamics Holdings has a GF Score™ of 68/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Grid Dynamics Holdings' Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) compare to FCCN and IBEX?
According to the Software industry distribution chart, Grid Dynamics Holdings ranks #999999 out of 312 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based). This places Grid Dynamics Holdings in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 0.74. Grid Dynamics Holdings' value of $8.56 is 1064.6% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for a Software company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) among Software companies is 0.74, based on 312 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Grid Dynamics Holdings's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $8.56 is 1064.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on Grid Dynamics Holdings and its competitors. For the Software industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 0.74 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Grid Dynamics Holdings's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $8.56. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Grid Dynamics Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Grid Dynamics Holdings (GDYN) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $13.07, compared to a current price of $6.17 — trading 52.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $8.56 and 1064.6% above the Software industry median of 0.74. Grid Dynamics Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Grid Dynamics Holdings (GDYN), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $8.56 as of Jul. 28, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Grid Dynamics Holdings (GDYN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Grid Dynamics Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $6.17 is trading 52.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of $13.07. GuruFocus considers Grid Dynamics Holdings to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for GDYN:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based): $8.56
  • GF Value™: $13.07 vs. price of $6.17 (52.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 1064.6% above the Software median (#999999 of 312)

No single metric tells the full story. See the GDYN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Grid Dynamics Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges 47E:Germany
Address 5000 Executive Parkway, Suite 520, San Ramon, CA, USA, 94583
Grid Dynamics Holdings Inc is a provider of technology consulting, platform and product engineering, and advanced analytics services. The company delivers tailored solutions in several industry verticals like Tech, Media and Telecom, Retail, Finance and Consumer Packaged goods (CPG)/manufacturing. The company derives maximum revenue from Retails. Geographically company earns revenue from North America, Europe and other regions.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for GDYN

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$6.17
Price
$13.07
GF Value