IPI (Intrepid Potash) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based): $33.43 (As of Aug. 16, 2026)

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IPI Intrepid Potash Inc IPI
69 GF Score
Price $36.62
GF Value $28.17
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Intrepid Potash Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

Intrepid Potash IPI +1.78% 69 Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $33.43 as of Aug. 16, 2026. GuruFocus rates IPI with a GF Score™ of 69/100 and a GF Value™ of $28.17 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 23 Agriculture companies, Intrepid Potash ranks worse than 4347821.74% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-16), Intrepid Potash's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $33.43.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Intrepid Potash's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Intrepid Potash is -9.54%.

The industry rank for Intrepid Potash's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

IPI's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Agriculture industry.
Industry Median: 1.59
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Intrepid Potash  (NYSE:IPI) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Intrepid Potash Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms


Intrepid Potash Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Intrepid Potash's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Intrepid Potash Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Intrepid Potash Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Intrepid Potash Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

IPI vs VRDR, AVD, BIOX: Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Comparison

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, Intrepid Potash's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Intrepid Potash Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) vs Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, Intrepid Potash's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Intrepid Potash's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.


IPI
69GF Score
Intrepid Potash Inc IPI
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Intrepid Potash Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.69%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 9.00%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Intrepid Potash's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 9.00%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 9.00%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $2.230.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Intrepid Potash's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.09)/(1+0.11) = 0.98198198198198
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=2.230*14.9902
=33.43

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(33.43-36.62)/33.43
=-9.54 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $33.43 mean?
Intrepid Potash (IPI) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $33.43 as of Aug. 16, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on Intrepid Potash and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Intrepid Potash ranks #999999 out of 23 companies in the Agriculture industry.
Is Intrepid Potash's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) too high?
Intrepid Potash's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $33.43. The Agriculture industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 1.59. Intrepid Potash's value of $33.43 is 2002.5% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Intrepid Potash ranks #999999 out of 23 companies in the Agriculture industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Intrepid Potash has a GF Score™ of 69/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Intrepid Potash's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) compare to VRDR and AVD?
According to the Agriculture industry distribution chart, Intrepid Potash ranks #999999 out of 23 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based). This places Intrepid Potash in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 1.59. Intrepid Potash's value of $33.43 is 2002.5% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for an Agriculture company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) among Agriculture companies is 1.59, based on 23 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Intrepid Potash's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $33.43 is 2002.5% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on Intrepid Potash and its competitors. For the Agriculture industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 1.59 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Intrepid Potash's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $33.43. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Intrepid Potash stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Intrepid Potash (IPI) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $28.17, compared to a current price of $36.62 — trading 30% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $33.43 and 2002.5% above the Agriculture industry median of 1.59. Intrepid Potash's overall GF Score™ is 69/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Intrepid Potash (IPI), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $33.43 as of Aug. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Intrepid Potash (IPI) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Intrepid Potash stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $36.62 is trading 30% above its estimated GF Value™ of $28.17. GuruFocus considers Intrepid Potash to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for IPI:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based): $33.43
  • GF Value™: $28.17 vs. price of $36.62 (30% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 69/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 2002.5% above the Agriculture median (#999999 of 23)

No single metric tells the full story. See the IPI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Intrepid Potash Business Description

Other Exchanges 58I1:Germany
Address 707 17th Street, Suite 4200, Denver, CO, USA, 80202
Intrepid Potash Inc produces and sells potash and potash byproducts in three main product segments: Potash, Trio, and Oilfield Solutions. The Potash segment produces and sells potash to the agricultural industry as a fertilizer input, the industrial market as a component of oil and gas drilling fluid, and the animal feed market as a nutrient supplement. The Trio segment produces and sells specialty fertilizer that consists of potassium, sulfate, and magnesium and is mined from langbeinite ore. The oilfield solutions segment offers water, high-speed potassium chloride mixing services, saltwater disposal services, and trucking services. The vast majority of revenue is generated in the United States, where the firm's production facilities are located.
69GF Score

Get the complete analysis for IPI

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$36.62
Price
$28.17
GF Value