IPI (Intrepid Potash) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $50.14 (As of Sep. 01, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

IPI Intrepid Potash Inc IPI
68 GF Score
Price $40.70
GF Value $28.26
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Intrepid Potash Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Intrepid Potash IPI +5.25% 68 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $50.14 as of Sep. 01, 2026. GuruFocus rates IPI with a GF Score™ of 68/100 and a GF Value™ of $28.26 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 182 Agriculture companies, Intrepid Potash ranks better than 60.99% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-01), Intrepid Potash's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $50.14. The stock price of Intrepid Potash is $40.70. Therefore, Intrepid Potash's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Intrepid Potash's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

IPI' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.26   Med: 0.88   Max: 94.78
Current: 0.81

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Intrepid Potash was 94.78. The lowest was 0.26. And the median was 0.88.

IPI's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
60.99% of 182 companies
in the Agriculture industry
Industry Median: 1.03 vs IPI: 0.81

Intrepid Potash  (NYSE:IPI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Intrepid Potash's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=40.70/50.138560382503
=0.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Intrepid Potash Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Intrepid Potash Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Intrepid Potash's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Intrepid Potash Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Intrepid Potash Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 42.74 56.51 53.99 39.03 45.70

Intrepid Potash Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 42.29 45.77 45.70 47.13 50.14

IPI vs AVD, VRDR, BIOX: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, Intrepid Potash's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Intrepid Potash Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, Intrepid Potash's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Intrepid Potash's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


IPI
68GF Score
Intrepid Potash Inc IPI
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Intrepid Potash Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Intrepid Potash's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $26.60.

Intrepid Potash's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*26.60496+515.188*0.8)/13.272
=50.14

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $50.14 mean?
Intrepid Potash (IPI) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $50.14 as of Sep. 01, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Intrepid Potash and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Intrepid Potash ranks #71 out of 182 companies in the Agriculture industry, placing it in the top 39%.
Is Intrepid Potash's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Intrepid Potash's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $50.14. The Agriculture industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.03. Intrepid Potash's value of $50.14 is 4768% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Intrepid Potash ranks #71 out of 182 companies in the Agriculture industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Intrepid Potash has a GF Score™ of 68/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Intrepid Potash's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to AVD and VRDR?
According to the Agriculture industry distribution chart, Intrepid Potash ranks #71 out of 182 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Intrepid Potash in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.03. Intrepid Potash's value of $50.14 is 4768% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for an Agriculture company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Agriculture companies is 1.03, based on 182 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Intrepid Potash's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $50.14 is 4768% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Intrepid Potash and its competitors. For the Agriculture industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.03 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Intrepid Potash's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $50.14. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Intrepid Potash stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Intrepid Potash (IPI) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $28.26, compared to a current price of $40.70 — trading 44% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $50.14 and 4768% above the Agriculture industry median of 1.03. Intrepid Potash's overall GF Score™ is 68/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Intrepid Potash (IPI), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $50.14 as of Sep. 01, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Intrepid Potash (IPI) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Intrepid Potash stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $40.70 is trading 44% above its estimated GF Value™ of $28.26. GuruFocus considers Intrepid Potash to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for IPI:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $50.14
  • GF Value™: $28.26 vs. price of $40.70 (44% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 68/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 4768% above the Agriculture median (#71 of 182)

No single metric tells the full story. See the IPI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Intrepid Potash Business Description

Other Exchanges 58I1:Germany
Address 707 17th Street, Suite 4200, Denver, CO, USA, 80202
Intrepid Potash Inc produces and sells potash and potash byproducts in three main product segments: Potash, Trio, and Oilfield Solutions. The Potash segment produces and sells potash to the agricultural industry as a fertilizer input, the industrial market as a component of oil and gas drilling fluid, and the animal feed market as a nutrient supplement. The Trio segment produces and sells specialty fertilizer that consists of potassium, sulfate, and magnesium and is mined from langbeinite ore. The oilfield solutions segment offers water, high-speed potassium chloride mixing services, saltwater disposal services, and trucking services. The vast majority of revenue is generated in the United States, where the firm's production facilities are located.
68GF Score

Get the complete analysis for IPI

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$40.70
Price
$28.26
GF Value