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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2025-05-12), Argan's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $99.84. The stock price of Argan is $171.54. Therefore, Argan's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.7.
The historical rank and industry rank for Argan's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Argan was 1.79. The lowest was 0.54. And the median was 0.96.
The historical data trend for Argan's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Argan Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Jan16 | Jan17 | Jan18 | Jan19 | Jan20 | Jan21 | Jan22 | Jan23 | Jan24 | Jan25 | |||||||||||
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial |
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39.88 | 47.49 | 26.41 | 37.81 | 99.84 |
Argan Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Apr20 | Jul20 | Oct20 | Jan21 | Apr21 | Jul21 | Oct21 | Jan22 | Apr22 | Jul22 | Oct22 | Jan23 | Apr23 | Jul23 | Oct23 | Jan24 | Apr24 | Jul24 | Oct24 | Jan25 | |
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial |
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37.81 | 51.18 | 79.55 | 84.69 | 99.84 |
For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Argan's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Argan's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Argan's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Argan's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $76.01.
Argan's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | = | (Growth Multiple | * | Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) | + | Total Stockholders Equity (Jan25) | * | 0.8) | / | Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) |
= | (14.862653310476 | * | 76.00608 | + | 351.857 | * | 0.8) | / | 14.134 | |
= | 99.84 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Argan (NYSE:AGX) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Argan's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF | = | Share Price | / | Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF |
= | 171.54 | / | 99.839933248075 | |
= | 1.72 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Argan's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Peter W Getsinger | director | 35 SNOW?S POINT, EDGARTOWN MA 02539 |
Cynthia Flanders | director, officer: SVP & CFO | 10006 WILDWOOD ROAD, KENSINGTON MD 20895 |
Rainer H Bosselmann | director, officer: Chairman of the Board and CEO | PUROFLOW INCORPORATED, ONE CHURCH STREET SUITE 302, ROCKVILLE MD 20850 |
Richard H Deily | officer: Vice President | C/O ARGAN, INC., ONE CHURCH STREET, SUITE 201, ROCKVILLE MD 20850 |
David Hibbert Watson | officer: SVP and CFO | C/O ARGAN, INC., ONE CHURCH STREET, SUITE 201, ROCKVILLE MD 20850 |
Griffin William F Jr | director, officer: VC/CEO of Gemma Power Systems | C/O GEMMA POWER SYSTEMS, LLC, 769 HEBRON AVENUE, GLASTONBURY CT 06033 |
William F. Leimkuhler | director | 43 SALEM STRAITS RD, DARIEN CT 06820 |
James W Quinn | director | PUROFLOW INCORPORATED, ONE CHURCH STREET SUITE 302, ROCKVILLE MD 20850 |
Mano S Koilpillai | director | 7380 IRA SEARS ROAD, ADAMSTOWN MD 21710 |
Mitchell W G Champion | director | NETWORK SOLUTIONS, INC., 3009 RIVER LANE, NEW BERN NC 28562 |
Jeffrey John Ronald Jr. | director | 55 GRANDVIEW CIRCLE, MANHASSET NY 11030 |
Trebilcock Terrance Colin | officer: Co-President, Gemma Power Sys. | 64 SADDLE RIDGE ROAD, GLASTONBURY CT 06033 |
Collins Charles Edwin Iv | officer: Co-President, Gemma Power Sys. | 68 HICKORY DRIVE, SOUTH GLASTONBURY CT 06073 |
James E Quinn | director | C/O TIFFANY & CO LEGAL DEPT, 727 FIFTH AVE, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
Henry A Crumpton | director | 2101 WILSON BLVD., SUITE 500, ARLINGTON VA 20005 |
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