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Asahi Group HoldingsASBRF 86 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $19.30 as of Sep. 09, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASBRF with a GF Score™ of 86/100 and a GF Value™ of $12.43 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 154 Beverages - Alcoholic companies, Asahi Group Holdings ranks better than 78.57% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
The historical rank and industry rank for Asahi Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
ASBRF'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.49 Med: 0.78 Max: 2
Current: 0.57
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Asahi Group Holdings was 2.00. The lowest was 0.49. And the median was 0.78.
ASBRF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 78.57% of 154
companies
in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 1
vs ASBRF: 0.57
Asahi Group Holdings (OTCPK:ASBRF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Asahi Group Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
11.00
/
19.911710231813
=
0.55
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Asahi Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Asahi Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Asahi Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Asahi Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart
ASBRF vs STZ, TAP: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Asahi Group Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Asahi Group Holdings Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Beverages - Alcoholic Industry
For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Asahi Group Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Asahi Group Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Asahi Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $19.30 mean?
Asahi Group Holdings (ASBRF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $19.30 as of Sep. 09, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Asahi Group Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Asahi Group Holdings ranks #33 out of 154 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 21.4%.
Is Asahi Group Holdings' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Asahi Group Holdings' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $19.30. The Beverages - Alcoholic industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.00. Asahi Group Holdings' value of $19.30 is 1830% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Asahi Group Holdings ranks #33 out of 154 companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Asahi Group Holdings has a GF Score™ of 86/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Asahi Group Holdings' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to STZ and TAP?
According to the Beverages - Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Asahi Group Holdings ranks #33 out of 154 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Asahi Group Holdings in the top 21% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.00. Asahi Group Holdings' value of $19.30 is 1830% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Beverages - Alcoholic company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Beverages - Alcoholic companies is 1.00, based on 154 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Asahi Group Holdings's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $19.30 is 1830% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Asahi Group Holdings and its competitors. For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.00 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Asahi Group Holdings's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $19.30. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Asahi Group Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Asahi Group Holdings (ASBRF) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $12.43, compared to a current price of $11.00 — trading 11.5% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $19.30 and 1830% above the Beverages - Alcoholic industry median of 1.00. Asahi Group Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 86/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Asahi Group Holdings (ASBRF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $19.30 as of Sep. 09, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Asahi Group Holdings (ASBRF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Asahi Group Holdings stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $11.00 is trading 11.5% below its estimated GF Value™ of $12.43.
GuruFocus considers Asahi Group Holdings to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for ASBRF:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $19.30
GF Value™: $12.43 vs. price of $11.00 (11.5% below fair value)
Industry Position: 1830% above the Beverages - Alcoholic median (#33 of 154)
No single metric tells the full story. See the ASBRF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Asahi is the largest brewer in Japan with a nearly 40% market share, led by its Asahi Super Dry brand. It also operates a wide range of alcoholic and soft beverage products as well as packaged foods, mainly in Japan. Overseas markets accounted for over half of the company's revenue and close to 60% of operating profit, with Australia and Europe being two major markets. It acquired SABMiller's brands including Peroni and Pilsner Urquell in Western and Central Europe in 2016 and 2017 from Anheuser-Busch InBev. In Australia, Asahi holds market leaderships across beer and soft drinks segments, through its acquisitions of Schweppes Australia in 2009 and Carlton & United Breweries in 2020.
86GF Score
Get the complete analysis for ASBRF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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