ASBRF (Asahi Group Holdings) Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 46.63% (As of Jun. 25, 2026)


ASBRF Asahi Group Holdings Ltd ASBRF
86 GF Score
Price $9.75
GF Value $13.88
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Asahi Group Holdings Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)?

Asahi Group Holdings ASBRF 86 Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 46.63% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASBRF with a GF Score™ of 86/100 and a GF Value™ of $13.88 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) - Current Price) / Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based).

Note: Discounted FCF model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

As of today (2026-06-25), Asahi Group Holdings's Predictability Rank is 4-Stars. Asahi Group Holdings's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted FCF model is $11.58 and current share price is $9.75. Consequently,

Asahi Group Holdings's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) using Discounted FCF model is 46.63%.

ASBRF vs STZ, TAP: Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Comparison

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Asahi Group Holdings's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Asahi Group Holdings Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) vs Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Asahi Group Holdings's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Asahi Group Holdings's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) falls into.


ASBRF
86GF Score
Asahi Group Holdings Ltd ASBRF
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Asahi Group Holdings Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) Calculation

Asahi Group Holdings's Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(18.27-9.75)/18.27
=46.63 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The intrinsic value is calculated from the Discounted FCF model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Earnings model except free cash flow are used in the calculation instead of earnings per share.

What does a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 46.63% mean?
Asahi Group Holdings (ASBRF) has a Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 46.63% as of Jun. 25, 2026. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Asahi Group Holdings.
Is Asahi Group Holdings' Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) too high?
Asahi Group Holdings' current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 46.63%. Overall, Asahi Group Holdings has a GF Score™ of 86/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Asahi Group Holdings' Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) compare to STZ and TAP?
Asahi Group Holdings' Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) of 46.63% can be compared against companies in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) for a Beverages - Alcoholic company?
A good Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) depends on the Beverages - Alcoholic industry context. However, Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) mean?
A high Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is the percent difference between the current price and the intrinsic DCF FCF price. View historical data on Asahi Group Holdings. Asahi Group Holdings's current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 46.63%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Asahi Group Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Asahi Group Holdings (ASBRF) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $13.88, compared to a current price of $9.75 — trading 29.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 46.63%. Asahi Group Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 86/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) calculated?
Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Asahi Group Holdings (ASBRF), the current Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is 46.63% as of Jun. 25, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Asahi Group Holdings (ASBRF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Asahi Group Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $9.75 is trading 29.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of $13.88. GuruFocus considers Asahi Group Holdings to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for ASBRF:

  • Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based): 46.63%
  • GF Value™: $13.88 vs. price of $9.75 (29.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 86/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASBRF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Asahi Group Holdings Business Description

Address 1-23-1 Azumabashi, Sumida-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 130-8602
Asahi is the largest brewer in Japan with a nearly 40% market share, led by its Asahi Super Dry brand. It also operates a wide range of alcoholic and soft beverage products as well as packaged foods, mainly in Japan. Overseas markets accounted for over half of the company's revenue and close to 60% of operating profit, with Australia and Europe being two major markets. It acquired SABMiller's brands including Peroni and Pilsner Urquell in Western and Central Europe in 2016 and 2017 from Anheuser-Busch InBev. In Australia, Asahi holds market leaderships across beer and soft drinks segments, through its acquisitions of Schweppes Australia in 2009 and Carlton & United Breweries in 2020.
86GF Score

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Margin of Safety % (DCF FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$9.75
Price
$13.88
GF Value