Briscoe Group (ASX:BGP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: A$3.69 (As of Sep. 07, 2026)

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ASX:BGP Briscoe Group Ltd ASX:BGP
77 GF Score
Price A$3.70
GF Value A$5.09
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 5 Warning Signs
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What is Briscoe Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Briscoe Group ASX:BGP 77 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$3.69 as of Sep. 07, 2026. GuruFocus rates ASX:BGP with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of A$5.09 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 764 Retail - Cyclical companies, Briscoe Group ranks worse than 61.52% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-07), Briscoe Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$3.69. The stock price of Briscoe Group is A$3.70. Therefore, Briscoe Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Briscoe Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:BGP' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.83   Med: 1.26   Max: 1.89
Current: 1

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Briscoe Group was 1.89. The lowest was 0.83. And the median was 1.26.

ASX:BGP's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
61.52% of 764 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.775 vs ASX:BGP: 1.00

Briscoe Group  (ASX:BGP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Briscoe Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=3.70/4.0689424404868
=0.91

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Briscoe Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Briscoe Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Briscoe Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Briscoe Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Briscoe Group Annual Data
Trend Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25 Jan26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.09 4.83 5.37 4.70 4.92

Briscoe Group Semi-Annual Data
Jul16 Jan17 Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jan24 Jul24 Jan25 Jul25 Jan26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.37 0.00 4.70 0.00 4.92

ASX:BGP vs DDS, M: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Department Stores subindustry, Briscoe Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Briscoe Group Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Briscoe Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Briscoe Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


ASX:BGP
77GF Score
Briscoe Group Ltd ASX:BGP
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Briscoe Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Briscoe Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = A$73.37.

Briscoe Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jan26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*73.373285714286+263.383*0.8)/223.460
=4.07

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$3.69 mean?
Briscoe Group (ASX:BGP) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of A$3.69 as of Sep. 07, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Briscoe Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Briscoe Group ranks #470 out of 764 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 61.5%.
Is Briscoe Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Briscoe Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$3.69. Based on the distribution chart, Briscoe Group ranks #470 out of 764 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Briscoe Group has a GF Score™ of 77/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Briscoe Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to DDS and M?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Briscoe Group ranks #470 out of 764 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Briscoe Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.78. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Retail - Cyclical company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Retail - Cyclical companies is 0.78, based on 764 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Briscoe Group and its competitors. For the Retail - Cyclical industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.78 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Briscoe Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$3.69. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Briscoe Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Briscoe Group (ASX:BGP) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is A$5.09, compared to a current price of A$3.70 — trading 27.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$3.69. Briscoe Group's overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Briscoe Group (ASX:BGP), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is A$3.69 as of Sep. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Briscoe Group (ASX:BGP) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Briscoe Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of A$3.70 is trading 27.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of A$5.09. GuruFocus considers Briscoe Group to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:BGP:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: A$3.69
  • GF Value™: A$5.09 vs. price of A$3.70 (27.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 77/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:BGP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Briscoe Group Business Description

Other Exchanges BGP:New Zealand
Address 1 Taylors Road, Morningside, Auckland, NTL, NZL, 1025
Briscoe Group Ltd is one of New Zealand's retailing groups, operating homeware and sporting goods stores. It operates under three brand names: Briscoes Homeware, Living & Giving, and Rebel Sport. The company's operating segments include Homeware and Sporting Goods. The majority of the company's revenue is generated from Homeware segment.
77GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:BGP

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$3.70
Price
A$5.09
GF Value