ATOGF (AUTO1 Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $-6.77 (As of Aug. 30, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ATOGF AUTO1 Group ATOGF
76 GF Score
Price $24.08
GF Value $18.98
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is AUTO1 Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

AUTO1 Group ATOGF 76 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-6.77 as of Aug. 30, 2026. GuruFocus rates ATOGF with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of $18.98 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 944 Vehicles & Parts companies, AUTO1 Group ranks worse than 105932.1% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-08-30), AUTO1 Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-6.77. The stock price of AUTO1 Group is $24.08. Therefore, AUTO1 Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for AUTO1 Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ATOGF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Vehicles & Parts industry.
Industry Median: 0.97
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

AUTO1 Group  (OTCPK:ATOGF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

AUTO1 Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=24.08/-6.9321301637568
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


AUTO1 Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


AUTO1 Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for AUTO1 Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

AUTO1 Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

AUTO1 Group Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -6.98

AUTO1 Group Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -4.00 -5.15 -6.98 -7.05

ATOGF vs CVNA, PAG, KMX: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Auto & Truck Dealerships subindustry, AUTO1 Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AUTO1 Group Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, AUTO1 Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AUTO1 Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


ATOGF
76GF Score
AUTO1 Group ATOGF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

AUTO1 Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get AUTO1 Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-232.32.

AUTO1 Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-232.3248+857.071*0.8)/220.157
=-6.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $-6.77 mean?
AUTO1 Group (ATOGF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $-6.77 as of Aug. 30, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on AUTO1 Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, AUTO1 Group ranks #999999 out of 944 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry.
Is AUTO1 Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
AUTO1 Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-6.77. Based on the distribution chart, AUTO1 Group ranks #999999 out of 944 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, AUTO1 Group has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does AUTO1 Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to CVNA and PAG?
According to the Vehicles & Parts industry distribution chart, AUTO1 Group ranks #999999 out of 944 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places AUTO1 Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.97. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Vehicles & Parts company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Vehicles & Parts companies is 0.97, based on 944 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on AUTO1 Group and its competitors. For the Vehicles & Parts industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.97 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. AUTO1 Group's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-6.77. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is AUTO1 Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AUTO1 Group (ATOGF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $18.98, compared to a current price of $24.08 — trading 26.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-6.77. AUTO1 Group's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For AUTO1 Group (ATOGF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-6.77 as of Aug. 30, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is AUTO1 Group (ATOGF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AUTO1 Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $24.08 is trading 26.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of $18.98. GuruFocus considers AUTO1 Group to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ATOGF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $-6.77
  • GF Value™: $18.98 vs. price of $24.08 (26.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ATOGF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


AUTO1 Group Business Description

Address Bergmannstrabe 72, Berlin, DEU, 10961
AUTO1 Group is a digital platform that facilitates the buying and selling of used cars online. It provides a simple and convenient way for both individual customers and professional car dealers across Europe to purchase and sell used cars at transparent prices, without the need for negotiation. AUTO1 Group has two main operating segments: Merchant and Retail. In the Merchant segment, used cars are sold to commercial car dealers through the AUTO1.com brand. The Merchant revenue includes auction fees, logistics services fees, and other charges associated with the provision of vehicles to dealers. The Retail segment focuses on selling used cars to private customers under the Autohero brand. However, the majority of the revenue is generated from the Merchant segment.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ATOGF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$24.08
Price
$18.98
GF Value