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AVHHL (AVITA Medical) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-1.95 (As of Dec. 16, 2024)


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What is AVITA Medical Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-12-16), AVITA Medical's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-1.95. The stock price of AVITA Medical is $2.30. Therefore, AVITA Medical's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for AVITA Medical's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AVHHL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Medical Devices & Instruments industry.
Industry Median: 1.72
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

AVITA Medical Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for AVITA Medical's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AVITA Medical Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

AVITA Medical Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.95 -0.04 -0.26 -0.79 -1.35

AVITA Medical Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.13 -1.35 -1.73 -1.98 -1.96

Competitive Comparison of AVITA Medical's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Medical Devices subindustry, AVITA Medical's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AVITA Medical's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, AVITA Medical's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AVITA Medical's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



AVITA Medical Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get AVITA Medical's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-29.33.

AVITA Medical's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Sep24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-29.33392+12.227*0.8)/129.920
=-2.07

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


AVITA Medical  (OTCPK:AVHHL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

AVITA Medical's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2.30/-2.0742582519081
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


AVITA Medical Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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AVITA Medical Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
28159 Avenue Stanford, Suite 220, Valencia, Los Angeles, CA, USA, 91355
Avita is a single product company. Its RECELL system is an innovative burn treatment device which creates Spray-on Skin from a small skin sample within 30 minutes, thus avoiding or reducing the need for skin grafts. It's approved for the treatment of adult patients in the US with paediatric clinical trials and expanded indications in soft-tissue reconstruction and vitiligo underway. It is currently in roll-out across the approximately 136 US burn centers. Despite having product approval in Australia, Europe, Canada, and China, Avita is not actively marketing in those territories and focussing instead on the US region. However, it is expected to launch in Japan via distribution partner Cosmotec in second-half fiscal 2022. Avita is domiciled, and has its primary listing, in the US.