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BAIC Motor (BAIC Motor) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $32.04 (As of May. 03, 2024)


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What is BAIC Motor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-03), BAIC Motor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $32.04. The stock price of BAIC Motor is $3.00. Therefore, BAIC Motor's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for BAIC Motor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BCCMY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.08   Med: 0.13   Max: 0.82
Current: 0.09

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of BAIC Motor was 0.82. The lowest was 0.08. And the median was 0.13.

BCCMY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
99.55% of 894 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 1.07 vs BCCMY: 0.09

BAIC Motor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for BAIC Motor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

BAIC Motor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

BAIC Motor Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 18.25 34.16 36.53 32.05 28.73

BAIC Motor Quarterly Data
Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 32.05 - - 28.73

Competitive Comparison of BAIC Motor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, BAIC Motor's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


BAIC Motor's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, BAIC Motor's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where BAIC Motor's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



BAIC Motor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get BAIC Motor's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,921.20.

BAIC Motor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.8522006035458*1921.1958571429+7984.261*0.8)/801.534
=31.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


BAIC Motor  (OTCPK:BCCMY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

BAIC Motor's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=3.00/31.58370796906
=0.09

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


BAIC Motor Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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BAIC Motor (BAIC Motor) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 99 Shuanghe Street, A5-061, Unit 101, 5th Floor, Building No 1, Courtyard, Shunyi District, Beijing, CHN, 101300
BAIC Motor Corp Ltd is a provincial state-owned enterprise that manufactures passenger vehicles (PV) and automotive components. The majority of BAIC's revenue and operating profits come from joint ventures with Mercedes Benz and Hyundai. The firm also manufactures and sells its own vehicles under the Beijing Brand.

BAIC Motor (BAIC Motor) Headlines

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