BCSF (Bain Capital Specialty Finance) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $22.92 (As of Sep. 13, 2026)

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BCSF Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc BCSF
64 GF Score
Price $11.47
GF Value $9.08
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Bain Capital Specialty Finance Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Bain Capital Specialty Finance BCSF +0.61% 64 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $22.92 as of Sep. 13, 2026. GuruFocus rates BCSF with a GF Score™ of 64/100 and a GF Value™ of $9.08 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,217 Asset Management companies, Bain Capital Specialty Finance ranks better than 80.03% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-13), Bain Capital Specialty Finance's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $22.92. The stock price of Bain Capital Specialty Finance is $11.47. Therefore, Bain Capital Specialty Finance's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Bain Capital Specialty Finance's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

BCSF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.5   Med: 0.83   Max: 15.39
Current: 0.5

During the past 10 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Bain Capital Specialty Finance was 15.39. The lowest was 0.50. And the median was 0.83.

BCSF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
80.03% of 1217 companies
in the Asset Management industry
Industry Median: 0.89 vs BCSF: 0.50

Bain Capital Specialty Finance  (NYSE:BCSF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Bain Capital Specialty Finance's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=11.47/22.919516240142
=0.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Bain Capital Specialty Finance Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Bain Capital Specialty Finance Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Bain Capital Specialty Finance's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Bain Capital Specialty Finance Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Bain Capital Specialty Finance Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -18.44 -31.21 -11.84 6.12 20.27

Bain Capital Specialty Finance Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 18.23 17.37 20.27 20.21 22.92

BCSF vs FFC, BTO, RMT: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Asset Management subindustry, Bain Capital Specialty Finance's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bain Capital Specialty Finance Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Bain Capital Specialty Finance's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bain Capital Specialty Finance's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


BCSF
64GF Score
Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc BCSF
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Bain Capital Specialty Finance Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Bain Capital Specialty Finance's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $65.38.

Bain Capital Specialty Finance's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*65.38352+1080.365*0.8)/64.869
=22.92

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $22.92 mean?
Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $22.92 as of Sep. 13, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Bain Capital Specialty Finance and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Bain Capital Specialty Finance ranks #243 out of 1217 companies in the Asset Management industry, placing it in the top 20%.
Is Bain Capital Specialty Finance's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Bain Capital Specialty Finance's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $22.92. The Asset Management industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.89. Bain Capital Specialty Finance's value of $22.92 is 2475.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Bain Capital Specialty Finance ranks #243 out of 1217 companies in the Asset Management industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Bain Capital Specialty Finance has a GF Score™ of 64/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Bain Capital Specialty Finance's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to FFC and BTO?
According to the Asset Management industry distribution chart, Bain Capital Specialty Finance ranks #243 out of 1217 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Bain Capital Specialty Finance in the top 20% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.89. Bain Capital Specialty Finance's value of $22.92 is 2475.3% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for an Asset Management company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Asset Management companies is 0.89, based on 1,217 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Bain Capital Specialty Finance's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of $22.92 is 2475.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Bain Capital Specialty Finance and its competitors. For the Asset Management industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.89 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Bain Capital Specialty Finance's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $22.92. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Bain Capital Specialty Finance stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $9.08, compared to a current price of $11.47 — trading 26.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $22.92 and 2475.3% above the Asset Management industry median of 0.89. Bain Capital Specialty Finance's overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $22.92 as of Sep. 13, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Bain Capital Specialty Finance (BCSF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Bain Capital Specialty Finance stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $11.47 is trading 26.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of $9.08. GuruFocus considers Bain Capital Specialty Finance to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BCSF:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: $22.92
  • GF Value™: $9.08 vs. price of $11.47 (26.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 64/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 2475.3% above the Asset Management median (#243 of 1217)

No single metric tells the full story. See the BCSF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Bain Capital Specialty Finance Business Description

Other Exchanges 618:Germany
Address 200 Clarendon Street, 37th Floor, Boston, MA, USA, 02116
Bain Capital Specialty Finance Inc is an externally managed, closed-end, non-diversified management investment company. The company's objective is to provide risk-adjusted returns and current income to investors by investing in middle-market companies. Its portfolio of investments includes First Lien Senior Secured Loan, Preferred Equity, Equity Interest, Warrants, and Second Lien Senior Secured Loan, and others.
64GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BCSF

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$11.47
Price
$9.08
GF Value