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DFDS AS (CHIX:DFDSC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : kr429.88 (As of Jun. 15, 2025)


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What is DFDS AS Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2025-06-15), DFDS AS's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is kr429.88. The stock price of DFDS AS is kr88.30. Therefore, DFDS AS's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for DFDS AS's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CHIX:DFDSc' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.16   Med: 0.94   Max: 1.7
Current: 0.21

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of DFDS AS was 1.70. The lowest was 0.16. And the median was 0.94.

CHIX:DFDSc's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
93.74% of 687 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.81 vs CHIX:DFDSc: 0.21

DFDS AS Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for DFDS AS's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

DFDS AS Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

DFDS AS Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 857.30 675.15 1,107.43 595.09 579.89

DFDS AS Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 499.90 554.08 658.96 579.89 859.47

Competitive Comparison of DFDS AS's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Marine Shipping subindustry, DFDS AS's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


DFDS AS's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, DFDS AS's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where DFDS AS's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


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DFDS AS Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get DFDS AS's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = kr1,377.44.

DFDS AS's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.26395753773*1377.44+13576*0.8)/54.023
=564.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


DFDS AS  (CHIX:DFDSc) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

DFDS AS's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=88.30/564.73253374989
=0.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


DFDS AS Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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DFDS AS Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Marmorvej 18, Copenhagen, DNK, DK-2100
DFDS AS is a transportation and logistics company domiciled in Denmark. The two main divisions are the ferry division and the logistics division. The ferry division operates ferry routes around Europe transporting freight, passenger, and passenger cruise ferries. The logistics division provides transport solutions for full and part loads as well as contracts logistics solutions, including warehousing. Its main customers include manufacturers of industrial goods. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the ferry division. It has a presence in geographical markets such as North Sea, Mediterranean, Baltic and Channel, Continent, Nordic and UK/Ireland.

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