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Smurfit WestRockCHIX:SWRL 64 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is £22.03 as of Aug. 09, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 1.47. GuruFocus rates CHIX:SWRL with a GF Score™ of 64/100 and a GF Value™ of £34.27 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 10 warning signs investors should review. Among 264 Packaging & Containers companies, Smurfit WestRock ranks worse than 67.05% on this metric.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2026-08-09), Smurfit WestRock's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is £22.03. The stock price of Smurfit WestRock is £33.79. Therefore, Smurfit WestRock's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.5.
The historical rank and industry rank for Smurfit WestRock's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
CHIX:SWRl'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.03 Med: 1.47 Max: 9.13
Current: 1.53
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Smurfit WestRock was 9.13. The lowest was 1.03. And the median was 1.47.
CHIX:SWRl's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than 67.05% of 264
companies
in the Packaging & Containers industry
Industry Median: 0.925
vs CHIX:SWRl: 1.53
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Smurfit WestRock's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
33.79
/
23.651663960188
=
1.43
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Smurfit WestRock Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Smurfit WestRock Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Smurfit WestRock's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
CHIX:SWRL vs PKG, IP, AMCR: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Smurfit WestRock's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Smurfit WestRock Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Packaging & Containers Industry
For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Smurfit WestRock's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Smurfit WestRock's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of £22.03 mean?
Smurfit WestRock (CHIX:SWRL) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of £22.03 as of Aug. 09, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Smurfit WestRock and its competitors. This is 1399% above median its historical median of 1.47. Over the past decade, Smurfit WestRock's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 1.03 to 9.13. According to the industry distribution chart, Smurfit WestRock ranks #177 out of 264 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, placing it in the top 67%.
Is Smurfit WestRock's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Smurfit WestRock's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of £22.03 is 1399% above median its 10-year median of 1.47. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.03 to a high of 9.13. Based on the distribution chart, Smurfit WestRock ranks #177 out of 264 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Smurfit WestRock has a GF Score™ of 64/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Smurfit WestRock's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to PKG and IP?
According to the Packaging & Containers industry distribution chart, Smurfit WestRock ranks #177 out of 264 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This places Smurfit WestRock in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.93. Historically, Smurfit WestRock's own Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF has ranged from 1.03 to 9.13 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Packaging & Containers company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Packaging & Containers companies is 0.93, based on 264 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Smurfit WestRock and its competitors. For the Packaging & Containers industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.93 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Smurfit WestRock's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is £22.03, which is 1399% above median its own 10-year median of 1.47. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Smurfit WestRock stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Smurfit WestRock (CHIX:SWRL) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is £34.27, compared to a current price of £33.79 — trading 1.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is £22.03, which is 1399% above median its 10-year median of 1.47. Smurfit WestRock's overall GF Score™ is 64/100 with 10 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Smurfit WestRock (CHIX:SWRL), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is £22.03 as of Aug. 09, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Smurfit WestRock (CHIX:SWRL) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Smurfit WestRock stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of £33.79 is trading 1.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of £34.27.
GuruFocus considers Smurfit WestRock to be Fairly Valued.
Key valuation signals for CHIX:SWRL:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: £22.03 (1399% above median its 10-year median of 1.47)
GF Value™: £34.27 vs. price of £33.79 (1.4% below fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:SWRL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Smurfit WestRock PLC manufactures corrugated packaging and consumer packaging, such as folding cartons and paperboard. operates a vertically integrated system supplying wood and recovered fiber to produce various grades of board, which are then converted into packaging products. Its main packaging categories include corrugated containers and consumer packaging, with additional products such as solidboard, kraft paper, graphic board, paper sacks, and bag-in-box packaging. The company's geographical segments include North America (including the U.S., Canada and Mexico), Europe, the Middle East and Africa and Asia-Pacific, and Latin America. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from product sales in the North American region.
64GF Score
Get the complete analysis for CHIX:SWRL
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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