Smurfit WestRock (CHIX:SWRL) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 0.00% (As of Mar. 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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CHIX:SWRL Smurfit WestRock PLC CHIX:SWRL
60 GF Score
Price £33.79
GF Value £35.58
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Smurfit WestRock Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Smurfit WestRock CHIX:SWRL 60 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates CHIX:SWRL with a GF Score™ of 60/100 and a GF Value™ of £35.58 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 317 Packaging & Containers companies, Smurfit WestRock ranks worse than 66.25% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Smurfit WestRock's forward rate of return for was 0.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Smurfit WestRock's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

CHIX:SWRl' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.2   Med: 8.7   Max: 27.19
Current: 0.49

During the past 13 years, Smurfit WestRock's highest Forward Rate of Return was 27.19. The lowest was 0.20. And the median was 8.70.

CHIX:SWRl's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
66.25% of 317 companies
in the Packaging & Containers industry
Industry Median: 7 vs CHIX:SWRl: 0.49

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Smurfit WestRock  (CHIX:SWRl) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Smurfit WestRock Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Smurfit WestRock Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Smurfit WestRock's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Smurfit WestRock Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Smurfit WestRock Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.35 26.22 26.24 0.00 0.00

Smurfit WestRock Quarterly Data
Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

CHIX:SWRL vs PKG, IP, AMCR: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Smurfit WestRock's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Smurfit WestRock Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Packaging & Containers Industry

For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Smurfit WestRock's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Smurfit WestRock's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


CHIX:SWRL
60GF Score
Smurfit WestRock PLC CHIX:SWRL
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Smurfit WestRock Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Smurfit WestRock's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.96895238/29.82+0.0236
=5.61 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% mean?
Smurfit WestRock (CHIX:SWRL) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.00% as of Mar. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Smurfit WestRock and its competitors. Over the past decade, Smurfit WestRock's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 0.20 to 27.19. According to the industry distribution chart, Smurfit WestRock ranks #210 out of 317 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, placing it in the top 66.2%.
Is Smurfit WestRock's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Smurfit WestRock's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.20 to a high of 27.19. Based on the distribution chart, Smurfit WestRock ranks #210 out of 317 companies in the Packaging & Containers industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Smurfit WestRock has a GF Score™ of 60/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Smurfit WestRock's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to PKG and IP?
According to the Packaging & Containers industry distribution chart, Smurfit WestRock ranks #210 out of 317 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Smurfit WestRock in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 7.00. Historically, Smurfit WestRock's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 0.20 to 27.19 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Packaging & Containers company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Packaging & Containers companies is 7.00, based on 317 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Smurfit WestRock and its competitors. For the Packaging & Containers industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 7.00 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Smurfit WestRock's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Smurfit WestRock stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Smurfit WestRock (CHIX:SWRL) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is £35.58, compared to a current price of £33.79 — trading 5% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00%. Smurfit WestRock's overall GF Score™ is 60/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Smurfit WestRock (CHIX:SWRL), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.00% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Smurfit WestRock (CHIX:SWRL) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Smurfit WestRock stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of £33.79 is trading 5% below its estimated GF Value™ of £35.58. GuruFocus considers Smurfit WestRock to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for CHIX:SWRL:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 0.00%
  • GF Value™: £35.58 vs. price of £33.79 (5% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 60/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:SWRL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Smurfit WestRock Business Description

Address Beech Hill, Clonskeagh, Dublin 4, Dublin, IRL, D04 N2R2
Smurfit WestRock PLC manufactures corrugated packaging and consumer packaging, such as folding cartons and paperboard. operates a vertically integrated system supplying wood and recovered fiber to produce various grades of board, which are then converted into packaging products. Its main packaging categories include corrugated containers and consumer packaging, with additional products such as solidboard, kraft paper, graphic board, paper sacks, and bag-in-box packaging. The company's geographical segments include North America (including the U.S., Canada and Mexico), Europe, the Middle East and Africa and Asia-Pacific, and Latin America. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from product sales in the North American region.
60GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CHIX:SWRL

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

£33.79
Price
£35.58
GF Value