GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » Avolta AG (OTCPK:DFRYF) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

DFRYF (Avolta AG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $82.84 (As of Dec. 15, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2010. Start your Free Trial

What is Avolta AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-12-15), Avolta AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $82.84. The stock price of Avolta AG is $41.1141. Therefore, Avolta AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Avolta AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Avolta AG was 1.77. The lowest was 0.21. And the median was 0.85.

DFRYF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Retail - Cyclical industry.
Industry Median: 0.8
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Avolta AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Avolta AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Avolta AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Avolta AG Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 198.40 99.33 67.85 83.29 89.20

Avolta AG Semi-Annual Data
Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 83.29 - 89.20 -

Competitive Comparison of Avolta AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Avolta AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Avolta AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Avolta AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Avolta AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Avolta AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Avolta AG's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $963.05.

Avolta AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*963.04857142857+2729.88*0.8)/139.361
=81.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Avolta AG  (OTCPK:DFRYF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Avolta AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=41.1141/81.460846319929
=0.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Avolta AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Avolta AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Avolta AG Business Description

Address
Brunngasslein 12, Basel, CHE, 4010
Avolta is the world's largest duty-free shop operator and leader in travel retail. Airports make up over 80% of the company's (Avolta and acquired Autogrill) total revenue. Avolta's main markets are Europe and the Americas, while Asia contributed 4% in 2023.

Avolta AG Headlines

From GuruFocus

Q1 2023 Dufry AG Trading Statement Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 02-13-2024

Q4 2018 Dufry AG Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 02-13-2024

Q3 2020 Dufry AG Trading Statement Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 02-13-2024

Q2 2019 Dufry AG Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 02-13-2024

Half Year 2020 Dufry AG Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 02-13-2024

Full Year 2023 Avolta AG Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 03-08-2024

Full Year 2020 Dufry AG Earnings Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 02-13-2024

Q1 2020 Dufry AG Trading Statement Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 02-13-2024

Q3 2023 Dufry AG Trading Statement Call Transcript

By GuruFocus Research 02-13-2024