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Graco (GGG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $32.76 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Graco Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Graco's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $32.76. The stock price of Graco is $83.49. Therefore, Graco's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Graco's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

GGG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.42   Med: 2.58   Max: 3.37
Current: 2.55

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Graco was 3.37. The lowest was 1.42. And the median was 2.58.

GGG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
72.51% of 1899 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 1.53 vs GGG: 2.55

Graco Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Graco's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Graco Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Graco Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 20.33 21.49 24.73 25.91 32.76

Graco Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.91 29.16 30.68 32.15 32.76

Competitive Comparison of Graco's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Graco's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Graco's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Graco's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Graco's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Graco Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Graco's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $315.81.

Graco's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.184026879804*315.8136+2224.225*0.8)/171.788
=32.76

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Graco  (NYSE:GGG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Graco's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=83.49/32.757010916989
=2.55

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Graco Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Graco's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Graco (GGG) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
88-11th Avenue Northeast, Minneapolis, MN, USA, 55413
Graco manufactures equipment used for managing fluids, coatings, and adhesives, specializing in difficult-to-handle materials. Graco's business is organized into three segments: industrial, process, and contractor. The Minnesota-based firm serves a wide range of end markets, including industrial, automotive, and construction, and its broad array of products include pumps, valves, meters, sprayers, and equipment used to apply coatings, sealants, and adhesives. The firm generated roughly $2.1 billion in sales and $573 million in operating income in 2022.
Executives
Mark W Sheahan officer: VICE PRESIDENT AND TREASURER P.O. BOX 1441, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55440-1441
Angela F Wordell officer: Executive VP, Operations 88 11TH AVENUE NE, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55413
Kathryn L Schoenrock officer: Executive Vice President 88 11TH AVENUE NE, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55413
Caroline M Chambers officer: Vice President and Controller PO BOX 1441, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55440-1441
Eric Etchart director ROOM F, 22F CROSS REGION PLAZA, 899 LINGLING ROAD, SHANGHAI F4 200030
Van Sant R William director PO BOX 1441, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55440-1441
Timothy R White officer: President, EMEA 88 11TH AVENUE NE, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55413
Ronita Banerjee officer: EVP, Chief HR Officer 88 11TH AVENUE NE, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55105
Jeffrey P. Johnson officer: Vice President 88 - 11TH AVENUE N.E., MINNEAPOLIS MN 55413
Heather L Anfang director 88 11TH AVENUE NE, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55413
Dale D Johnson officer: VICE PRESIDENT P.O. BOX 1441, MINNEAPOLIS MN 5440-1441
Christopher D. Knutson officer: EVP, Corporate Controller 88 11TH AVENUE NE, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55413
Claudio Merengo officer: President, Worldwide Gema 88 11TH AVENUE NE, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55413
J Kevin Gilligan director P O BOX 1441, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55440-1441
Archie C. Black director 333 SOUTH SEVENTH STREET, SUITE 1000, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55402