GMGSF (Goodman Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $8.01 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)

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What is Goodman Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-12-14), Goodman Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $8.01. The stock price of Goodman Group is $23.47. Therefore, Goodman Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Goodman Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

GMGSF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.05 Med: 1.47 Max: 2.93
Current: 2.93

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Goodman Group was 2.93. The lowest was 1.05. And the median was 1.47.

GMGSF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
87.36% of 1258 companies
in the Real Estate industry
Industry Median: 0.68 vs GMGSF: 2.93

Goodman Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Goodman Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Goodman Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Goodman Group Annual Data

Trend

Jun15

Jun16

Jun17

Jun18

Jun19

Jun20

Jun21

Jun22

Jun23

Jun24

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

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6.60

7.95

8.67

8.71

8.66

Goodman Group Semi-Annual Data
	Dec14	Jun15	Dec15	Jun16	Dec16	Jun17	Dec17	Jun18	Dec18	Jun19	Dec19	Jun20	Dec20	Jun21	Dec21	Jun22	Dec22	Jun23	Dec23	Jun24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															8.67	-	8.71	-	8.66

Competitive Comparison of Goodman Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Real Estate - Diversified subindustry, Goodman Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Goodman Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Goodman Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Goodman Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.

Goodman Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Goodman Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $757.96.

Goodman Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	=	(Growth Multiple	*	Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)	+	Total Stockholders Equity (Jun24)	*	0.8)	/	Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
	=	(9.5203515959648	*	757.96085714286	+	11645.352	*	0.8)	/	1896.681
	=	8.72

Goodman Group (OTCPK:GMGSF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Goodman Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF	=	Share Price	/	Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
	=	23.47	/	8.7164554587613
	=	2.69

Goodman Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Goodman Group Business Description

Industry

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Traded in Other Exchanges

GMG:Australia

Address

1-11 Hayes Road, The Hayesbery, Rosebery, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2018

Website

https://www.goodman.com

Goodman Group develops and manages industrial property investments worldwide. Rather than keeping all risk on its own balance sheet, many Goodman developments are on behalf of end-user tenants and funds management clients. A typical deal involves purchasing land for a tenant who wants to occupy the site, and/or an investor who will own the asset via a Goodman investment vehicle. Goodman charges leasing fees for locking in tenants, and fees for managing the development. Completed projects reside in Goodman investment vehicles, and Goodman charges asset and investment management fees to investors, in return for collecting rent and managing the site. Goodman also retains a minority stake in many projects, generating rental income and aligning its interests with its funds management clients.