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Cathay Group Holdings (HKSE:01981) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$1.66 (As of Jun. 05, 2025)


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What is Cathay Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2025-06-05), Cathay Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$1.66. The stock price of Cathay Group Holdings is HK$1.48. Therefore, Cathay Group Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cathay Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:01981' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.5   Med: 0.62   Max: 0.89
Current: 0.89

During the past 8 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Cathay Group Holdings was 0.89. The lowest was 0.50. And the median was 0.62.

HKSE:01981's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
50.88% of 171 companies
in the Education industry
Industry Median: 0.84 vs HKSE:01981: 0.89

Cathay Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cathay Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cathay Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Cathay Group Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - 1.57 1.66

Cathay Group Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Dec17 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 1.57 - 1.66

Competitive Comparison of Cathay Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Education & Training Services subindustry, Cathay Group Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cathay Group Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Education Industry

For the Education industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Cathay Group Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cathay Group Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


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Cathay Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Cathay Group Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$80.53.

Cathay Group Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.8522006035458*80.530571428571+2370.807*0.8)/1622.937
=1.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cathay Group Holdings  (HKSE:01981) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Cathay Group Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.48/1.6575190191809
=0.89

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cathay Group Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Cathay Group Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 93 Jianguo Road, 22nd Floor, Tower 12, Wanda Plaza, Chaoyang District, Beijing, CHN, 100022
Cathay Group Holdings Inc is an investment holding company. Along with its subsidiaries, the company is engaged in two reportable and operating segments, namely higher and vocational education segment, which derives maximum revenue, and the entertainment and livestreaming e-commerce segment. Geographically, the group derives a majority of its revenue from Mainland China.
Executives
Pu Shulin 2307 Founder of a discretionary trust who can infl
Luo Jacqueline 2202 Interest of your spouse
Cathay Media Holding Inc. 2101 Beneficial owner
Media One International (ptc) Limited 2301 Trustee
Winning Global Ventures Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Areo Holdings Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Highland Pines Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Lam Lai Ming 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Li Gabriel 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you

Cathay Group Holdings Headlines

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