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China Youran Dairy Group (HKSE:09858) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$0.00 (As of Jun. 01, 2025)


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What is China Youran Dairy Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2025-06-01), China Youran Dairy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$0.00. The stock price of China Youran Dairy Group is HK$2.67. Therefore, China Youran Dairy Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Youran Dairy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:09858's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry.
Industry Median: 1.07
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

China Youran Dairy Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Youran Dairy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Youran Dairy Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

China Youran Dairy Group Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
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China Youran Dairy Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec18 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24
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Competitive Comparison of China Youran Dairy Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Farm Products subindustry, China Youran Dairy Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Youran Dairy Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, China Youran Dairy Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Youran Dairy Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


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China Youran Dairy Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)



China Youran Dairy Group  (HKSE:09858) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

China Youran Dairy Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2.67/
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


China Youran Dairy Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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China Youran Dairy Group Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 169, Hexi Road, Saihan District, Inner Mongolia, Hohhot, CHN
China Youran Dairy Group Ltd is primarily engaged in the production and sale of raw milk, and the trading, production, and sale of dairy farming products in China. The group operates through two business segments, namely, Raw Milk and Comprehensive Ruminant Farming Solutions. It provides premium raw milk to large-scale dairy manufacturers and offers ruminant farming products and services to dairy farms. The company derives maximum revenue from Raw Milk segment. All revenue is derived from the customers located in Mainland China.
Executives
Pacific Alliance Group Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Pag 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Pag Capital Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Shan Weijian 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Pag Dairy Gp I Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Pag Dairy I Lp 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Pagac Yogurt Holding Ii Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Nei Meng Gu Yi Li Shi Ye Ji Tuan Gu Fen You Xian Gong Si 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Zhong Guo You Ran Mu Ye Kong Gu You Xian Gong Si 2101 Beneficial owner
Pag Asia Capital Gp I Limited 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Pag Asia I Lp 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Pagac Yogurt Holding I Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Shan Weijian 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Pagac Yogurt Holding Iii Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Meadowland Investment Limited Partnership 2101 Beneficial owner

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