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LZAGY (Lonza Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $11.52 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)


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What is Lonza Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-12-14), Lonza Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $11.52. The stock price of Lonza Group is $59.64. Therefore, Lonza Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 5.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lonza Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

LZAGY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.89   Med: 2.7   Max: 5.41
Current: 5.18

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Lonza Group was 5.41. The lowest was 1.89. And the median was 2.70.

LZAGY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
88.12% of 101 companies
in the Medical Diagnostics & Research industry
Industry Median: 1.5 vs LZAGY: 5.18

Lonza Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lonza Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lonza Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Lonza Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.07 13.14 15.43 13.59 12.12

Lonza Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 13.59 - 12.12 -

Competitive Comparison of Lonza Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Diagnostics & Research subindustry, Lonza Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lonza Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Medical Diagnostics & Research Industry

For the Medical Diagnostics & Research industry and Healthcare sector, Lonza Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lonza Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Lonza Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Lonza Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-17.71.

Lonza Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.018181128481*-17.712+10929.695*0.8)/736.838
=11.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Lonza Group  (OTCPK:LZAGY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Lonza Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=59.64/11.577700900133
=5.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Lonza Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Lonza Group Business Description

Address
Muenchensteinerstrasse 38, Basel, CHE, CH-4002
Lonza Group is a contract development and manufacturing organization, or CDMO. It operates under four segments: small molecules, biologics, cell & gene, and capsules & health ingredients. Lonza derives its revenue primarily from long-term supply agreements with pharmaceutical customers. The company provides a range of development and manufacturing services throughout the entire lifecycle of a product from drug research to commercial supply. The majority of Lonza's customers are pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies, academic institutions, and government research organizations.