Spectrum Brands Holdings (MEX:SPB) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: MXN2,129.82 (As of Sep. 12, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MEX:SPB Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc MEX:SPB
77 GF Score
Price MXN1,845.00
GF Value MXN2,041.65
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Spectrum Brands Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Spectrum Brands Holdings MEX:SPB 77 Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN2,129.82 as of Sep. 12, 2026. GuruFocus rates MEX:SPB with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN2,041.65. The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,324 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Spectrum Brands Holdings ranks better than 57.63% on this metric.

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2026-09-12), Spectrum Brands Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN2,129.82. The stock price of Spectrum Brands Holdings is MXN1845.00. Therefore, Spectrum Brands Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Spectrum Brands Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:SPB' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.33   Med: 0.72   Max: 1.61
Current: 0.86

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Spectrum Brands Holdings was 1.61. The lowest was 0.33. And the median was 0.72.

MEX:SPB's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
57.63% of 1324 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 1.01 vs MEX:SPB: 0.86

Spectrum Brands Holdings  (MEX:SPB) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Spectrum Brands Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1845.00/1934.4706459774
=0.95

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Spectrum Brands Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms


Spectrum Brands Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Spectrum Brands Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Spectrum Brands Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Spectrum Brands Holdings Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2,376.11 4,535.68 2,041.63 1,557.80 3,571.64

Spectrum Brands Holdings Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3,280.62 3,571.64 2,520.48 2,392.99 2,141.49

MEX:SPB vs COTY, NWL, EPC: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, Spectrum Brands Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Spectrum Brands Holdings Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Spectrum Brands Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Spectrum Brands Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


MEX:SPB
77GF Score
Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc MEX:SPB
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Spectrum Brands Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Spectrum Brands Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = MXN1,983.11.

Spectrum Brands Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun26)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*1983.10944+32257.966*0.8)/23.100
=1,934.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of MXN2,129.82 mean?
Spectrum Brands Holdings (MEX:SPB) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of MXN2,129.82 as of Sep. 12, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Spectrum Brands Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Spectrum Brands Holdings ranks #561 out of 1324 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 42.4%.
Is Spectrum Brands Holdings' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Spectrum Brands Holdings' current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN2,129.82. Based on the distribution chart, Spectrum Brands Holdings ranks #561 out of 1324 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Spectrum Brands Holdings has a GF Score™ of 77/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Spectrum Brands Holdings' Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to COTY and NWL?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Spectrum Brands Holdings ranks #561 out of 1324 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Spectrum Brands Holdings in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.01. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Consumer Packaged Goods companies is 1.01, based on 1,324 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Spectrum Brands Holdings and its competitors. For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 1.01 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Spectrum Brands Holdings's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN2,129.82. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Spectrum Brands Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Spectrum Brands Holdings (MEX:SPB) has a current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of MXN2,129.82. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN2,041.65, compared to a current price of MXN1,845.00 — trading 9.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN2,129.82. Spectrum Brands Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Spectrum Brands Holdings (MEX:SPB), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN2,129.82 as of Sep. 12, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Spectrum Brands Holdings (MEX:SPB) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Spectrum Brands Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of MXN1,845.00 is trading 9.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of MXN2,041.65.

Key valuation signals for MEX:SPB:

  • Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: MXN2,129.82
  • GF Value™: MXN2,041.65 vs. price of MXN1,845.00 (9.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 77/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:SPB stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Spectrum Brands Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges SPB:USAH221:Germany
Address 3001 Deming Way, Middleton, WI, USA, 53562
Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc is consumer products and home essentials company. The company is a supplier of consumer batteries, residential locksets, residential builders' hardware, grooming products and personal care products. The company manages the businesses in product-focused segments; Home and Personal Care, global Pet Care, and Home and Garden. The Company manufactures, markets and distributes its products globally in the North America, Europe, Middle East & Africa, Latin America, and Asia-Pacific.
77GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:SPB

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN1,845.00
Price
MXN2,041.65
GF Value