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Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
The historical rank and industry rank for Marriott Vacations Worldwide's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
MEX:VAC'
s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.46 Med: 1.2 Max: 2.11
Current: 0.85
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Marriott Vacations Worldwide was 2.11. The lowest was 0.46. And the median was 1.20.
MEX:VAC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than 53.46% of 593
companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 0.91
vs MEX:VAC: 0.85
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Marriott Vacations Worldwide's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF
=
Share Price
/
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=
2000.00
/
2164.454224836
=
0.92
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
MEX:VAC vs HGV, RRR, MTN: Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Comparison
For the Resorts & Casinos subindustry, Marriott Vacations Worldwide's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Price-to-Projected-FCF vs Travel & Leisure Industry
For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Marriott Vacations Worldwide's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Marriott Vacations Worldwide's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of MXN2,347.91 mean?
Marriott Vacations Worldwide (MEX:VAC) has a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF of MXN2,347.91 as of Sep. 15, 2026. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Marriott Vacations Worldwide and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Marriott Vacations Worldwide ranks #276 out of 593 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 46.5%.
Is Marriott Vacations Worldwide's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF too high?
Marriott Vacations Worldwide's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN2,347.91. Based on the distribution chart, Marriott Vacations Worldwide ranks #276 out of 593 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Marriott Vacations Worldwide has a GF Score™ of 50/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Marriott Vacations Worldwide's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF compare to HGV and RRR?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Marriott Vacations Worldwide ranks #276 out of 593 companies for Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF. This puts Marriott Vacations Worldwide in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.91. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for a Travel & Leisure company?
The median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF among Travel & Leisure companies is 0.91, based on 593 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is the stock value based on a projected free cash flow model. View historical data on Marriott Vacations Worldwide and its competitors. For the Travel & Leisure industry, the median Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 0.91 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Marriott Vacations Worldwide's current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN2,347.91. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Marriott Vacations Worldwide stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Marriott Vacations Worldwide (MEX:VAC) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN1,266.59, compared to a current price of MXN2,000.00 — trading 57.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN2,347.91. Marriott Vacations Worldwide's overall GF Score™ is 50/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF calculated?
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Marriott Vacations Worldwide (MEX:VAC), the current Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is MXN2,347.91 as of Sep. 15, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Marriott Vacations Worldwide (MEX:VAC) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Marriott Vacations Worldwide stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of MXN2,000.00 is trading 57.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN1,266.59.
GuruFocus considers Marriott Vacations Worldwide to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for MEX:VAC:
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF: MXN2,347.91
GF Value™: MXN1,266.59 vs. price of MXN2,000.00 (57.9% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:VAC stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corp functions in the United States leisure industry. It owns and manages a cluster of resorts and accommodation facilities under trademarks like Marriott Vacation Club, Grand Residencies, and The Ritz-Carlton Destination Club predominantly in the United States. Some of its properties are also spread across Europe and Asia Pacific. Marriott's majority revenue components include the sale of vacation ownership products such as luxurious vacation packages. In addition, it offers purchase money financing to the end users of its core services. The company operates in two reportable segments: Vacation Ownership and Exchange & Third-Party Management. The majority of revenue is derived from the Vacation Ownership segment.
50GF Score
Get the complete analysis for MEX:VAC
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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